
LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,550% chance of winning. Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) follows in second place at 6,350%, while Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $181.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- O/U 3.5 Games (6,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $95 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) (6,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) maintains a 6,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,350¢.
- Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%), Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%), and Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Penta Kill are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 3.5 Games | 6550.0% | $95 | 6550¢ | -6450¢ |
| 2 | Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | 6350.0% | $46.5K | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Game 4 Winner | 4500.0% | $1 | 4500¢ | -4400¢ |
| 29 | Game 2 Winner | 3050.0% | $49 | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 30 | Game 3 Winner | 3050.0% | $21 | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 31 | Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5) | 3050.0% | $71.6K | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 32 | Game 1 Winner | 2950.0% | $197 | 2950¢ | -2850¢ |
| 33 | O/U 4.5 Games | 2550.0% | $98 | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
| 34 | Match Winner | 1850.0% | $63.1K | 1850¢ | -1750¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 2 match between Karmine Corp and T1 in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against T1.
This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Karmine Corp.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 4, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Nov 2, 2026
- 12:38 PMKHKhalilwang$1.00
Bought 1.204817 T1 for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.83
- 12:37 PM0X0x11a8D3b6801Edd00d690EbF4eC732afFa3b724c0-1773573485402$5.00
Bought 6.024094 T1 for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.83
- 12:24 PMNONolan7210$343.24
Bought 413.542164 T1 for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.83
- 12:06 PMJXjxfei$100.00
Bought 120.481923 T1 for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.83
- 11:56 AM303000to6666$1,050.95
Bought 1266.204817 T1 for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.83
- 11:54 AM0X0x6ef863a55480192474Eff2154456FB13F692606E-1774980698711$1.00
Bought 1.204817 T1 for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.83
- 11:49 AMSUsuntori$1.90
Bought 10.555556 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.18
- 11:42 AMDEDest1n1-161$2.00
Bought 11.111112 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.18
- 11:39 AMHUhunter-bobby$10.00
Bought 12.048188 T1 for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.83
- 11:36 AM0X0x21529DE2D0f225b5DFeEA521901b7EA03D15B77f-1785139706847$1.00
Bought 5.555556 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.18
- 11:36 AMGIgimmemymoneybackbro$420.00
Bought 2333.333334 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.18
- 11:18 AMB3b3tboss$24.30
Bought 135 Karmine Corp for LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.18
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs"?
As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,550% win probability, followed by Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) at 6,350% and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $181.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
