
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,350% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 7,350%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 7,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $190K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Match Winner (7,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $114.6K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 7,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,350¢.
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,350%): Sitting in third place with a 7,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,900%), O/U 3.5 Games (6,650%), and Game 1 Winner (6,350%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game 2 Winner are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Match Winner | 7350.0% | $114.6K | 7350¢ | -7250¢ |
| 2 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 7350.0% | — | 7350¢ | -7250¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 7350.0% | — | 7350¢ | -7250¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 6900.0% | — | 6900¢ | -6800¢ |
| 5 | O/U 3.5 Games | 6650.0% | $427 | 6650¢ | -6550¢ |
| 6 | Game 1 Winner | 6350.0% | $1.6K | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 7 | Game 2 Winner | 6350.0% | $100 | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 8 | Game 3 Winner | 6350.0% | — | 6350¢ | -6250¢ |
| 9 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? | 6300.0% | — | 6300¢ | -6200¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 6250.0% | — | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 11 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 6250.0% | — | 6250¢ | -6150¢ |
| 12 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? | 6200.0% | $2 | 6200¢ | -6100¢ |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? | 6100.0% | $80 | 6100¢ | -6000¢ |
| 14 | Game 4 Winner | 5950.0% | $23 | 5950¢ | -5850¢ |
| 15 | Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) | 5350.0% | $66.1K | 5350¢ | -5250¢ |
| 16 | First Blood in Game 2? | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 17 | First Blood in Game 3? | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 18 | First Blood in Game 1? | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 19 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 20 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 21 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 22 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5150.0% | — | 5150¢ | -5050¢ |
| 23 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 24 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 25 | First Blood in Game 4? | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 26 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 4950.0% | $5.3K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 36 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 4850.0% | $12 | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 37 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 4650.0% | $2 | 4650¢ | -4550¢ |
| 38 | O/U 4.5 Games | 3050.0% | $94 | 3050¢ | -2950¢ |
| 39 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 40 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 41 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 2850.0% | — | 2850¢ | -2750¢ |
| 42 | Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI (+2.5) | 2650.0% | $1.6K | 2650¢ | -2550¢ |
| 43 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 44 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 45 | Any Player Penta Kill | 2600.0% | — | 2600¢ | -2500¢ |
| 46 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1200.0% | — | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 47 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1200.0% | — | 1200¢ | -1100¢ |
| 48 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 1100.0% | — | 1100¢ | -1000¢ |
| 49 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 50 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
| 51 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 950.0% | — | 950¢ | -850¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Movistar KOI.
This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Karmine Corp.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 19, 2026
- 12:14 PMLELeslielin$155.47
Bought 304.85 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.51
- 12:12 PMDADaWinci$54.32
Bought 208.94 Movistar KOI for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs at 0.26
- 12:12 PM——$2.00
Bought 4.25532 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47
- 12:12 PMJAjarqm1$6.00
Bought 12.76 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47
- 12:12 PMYQyqsl$22.51
Bought 47.893618 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47
- 12:12 PMTATarnished.$2.64
Bought 5.617022 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47
- 12:11 PMHIHi3212$10.00
Bought 21.276596 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47
- 12:11 PM——$75.19
Bought 159.97 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47
- 12:11 PMOWowvyby1d35ui$8.00
Bought 17.021277 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47
- 12:11 PMDRdrunkdegenerate$4,502.17
Bought 9787.33 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.46
- 12:11 PMDJDJMathiew$6.93
Bought 26.653847 Movistar KOI for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs at 0.26
- 12:11 PMGOGOODFOODPOGGIES$41.86
Bought 91 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.46
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs"?
As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,350% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 7,350% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 7,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $190K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
