LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

$190K Vol
Sep 20, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Karmine Corp 73.5%
Movistar KOI 26.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,350% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 7,350%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 7,350%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $190K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (7,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $114.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,350%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 7,350% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,350¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,350%): Sitting in third place with a 7,350% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,900%), O/U 3.5 Games (6,650%), and Game 1 Winner (6,350%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game 2 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner7350.0%$114.6K7350¢-7250¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon7350.0%7350¢-7250¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon7350.0%7350¢-7250¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6900.0%6900¢-6800¢
5O/U 3.5 Games6650.0%$4276650¢-6550¢
6Game 1 Winner6350.0%$1.6K6350¢-6250¢
7Game 2 Winner6350.0%$1006350¢-6250¢
8Game 3 Winner6350.0%6350¢-6250¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?6300.0%6300¢-6200¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon6250.0%6250¢-6150¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon6250.0%6250¢-6150¢
12Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?6200.0%$26200¢-6100¢
13Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?6100.0%$806100¢-6000¢
14Game 4 Winner5950.0%$235950¢-5850¢
15Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5)5350.0%$66.1K5350¢-5250¢
16First Blood in Game 2?5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
17First Blood in Game 3?5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
18First Blood in Game 1?5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
21Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
25First Blood in Game 4?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
26Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
35Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4950.0%$5.3K4950¢-4850¢
36Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?4850.0%$124850¢-4750¢
37Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4650.0%$24650¢-4550¢
38O/U 4.5 Games3050.0%$943050¢-2950¢
39Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
40Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
41Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
42Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Movistar KOI (+2.5)2650.0%$1.6K2650¢-2550¢
43Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
44Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
45Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
46Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1200.0%1200¢-1100¢
47Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1200.0%1200¢-1100¢
48Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1100.0%1100¢-1000¢
49Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%950¢-850¢
50Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%950¢-850¢
51Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%950¢-850¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Movistar KOI.

This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Karmine Corp.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 19, 2026

  • 12:14 PM
    LELeslielin
    $155.47

    Bought 304.85 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 0.51

  • 12:12 PM
    DADaWinci
    $54.32

    Bought 208.94 Movistar KOI for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs at 0.26

  • 12:12 PM
    $2.00

    Bought 4.25532 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 12:12 PM
    JAjarqm1
    $6.00

    Bought 12.76 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 12:12 PM
    YQyqsl
    $22.51

    Bought 47.893618 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 12:12 PM
    TATarnished.
    $2.64

    Bought 5.617022 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 12:11 PM
    HIHi3212
    $10.00

    Bought 21.276596 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 12:11 PM
    $75.19

    Bought 159.97 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 12:11 PM
    OWowvyby1d35ui
    $8.00

    Bought 17.021277 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.47

  • 12:11 PM
    DRdrunkdegenerate
    $4,502.17

    Bought 9787.33 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.46

  • 12:11 PM
    DJDJMathiew
    $6.93

    Bought 26.653847 Movistar KOI for LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs at 0.26

  • 12:11 PM
    GOGOODFOODPOGGIES
    $41.86

    Bought 91 Movistar KOI for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Movistar KOI (+1.5) at 0.46

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

PA1
patient-artisan
Event PnL
+$35.69
Volume
$3,211.96
Positions
Movistar KOI
JU2
JuiceFarm
Event PnL
-$37.74
Volume
$2,516.07
Positions
Karmine CorpKarmine Corp
QW3
qwweqrwewe
Event PnL
-$9.00
Volume
$1,800.00
Positions
Karmine Corp
BY4
BYTasb1
Event PnL
+$8.15
Volume
$1,630.43
Positions
Movistar KOI
VI5
vibing123
Event PnL
+$24.26
Volume
$1,617.12
Positions
Movistar KOI
BO6
Boss7
Event PnL
+$6.50
Volume
$1,299.99
Positions
Movistar KOI
AV7
avooo
Event PnL
+$18.51
Volume
$1,233.99
Positions
Movistar KOI
CH8
chasingakiacar5
Event PnL
-$5.12
Volume
$1,024.88
Positions
Karmine Corp

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,350% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 7,350% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 7,350%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $190K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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