LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

$264.1K Vol
Oct 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
JD Gaming 53.5%
LGD Gaming 46.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,550% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? follows in second place at 5,450%, while Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? sits in third with 5,400%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $264.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (5,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $30.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (5,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? maintains a 5,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,450¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (5,400%): Sitting in third place with a 5,400% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game 2 Winner (5,350%), Match Winner (5,350%), and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner5550.0%$30.0K5550¢-5450¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5400.0%$25400¢-5300¢
4Game 2 Winner5350.0%$1165350¢-5250¢
5Match Winner5350.0%$322.3K5350¢-5250¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
23O/U 2.5 Games4850.0%$9974850¢-4750¢
24Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4650.0%$24650¢-4550¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4200.0%$24200¢-4100¢
26Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)2850.0%$1.7K2850¢-2750¢
27Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)2350.0%$1.4K2350¢-2250¢
28Any Player Penta Kill2000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
29Any Player Penta Kill750.0%—750¢-650¢
30Any Player Penta Kill750.0%—750¢-650¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between JD Gaming and LGD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against LGD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against JD Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 6, 2026

  • 01:11 AM
    SUsuntori
    $1.90

    Bought 3.584906 JD Gaming for LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.53

  • 01:01 AM
    RORodion29ru
    $2.66

    Bought 5.018868 JD Gaming for LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.53

  • 12:50 AM
    MImine999
    $68.39

    Bought 129.037736 JD Gaming for LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.53

  • 12:38 AM
    LUluckychenxi
    $288.00

    Bought 600 LGD Gaming for LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.48

  • 12:38 AM
    LOlopesmath
    $200.00

    Bought 377.358491 JD Gaming for LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.53

  • 12:35 AM
    TJTjommiq
    $22.58

    Bought 42.603774 JD Gaming for LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.53

  • 12:32 AM
    THTheThighMaster
    $5.00

    Bought 9.433963 JD Gaming for LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.53

  • 12:27 AM
    ICIcefreeezingRay
    $2.65

    Bought 5 JD Gaming for LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.53

  • 12:22 AM
    0X0xC93b0a6c7e5a4aA1F11667F69Ea18232F0C09d78-1781351298921
    $3.56

    Bought 7.416667 LGD Gaming for LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.48

  • 12:03 AM
    COCopyTrading01
    $2.89

    Bought 5.45 JD Gaming for LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.53

  • 12:02 AM
    OMomnibus-076daa
    $19.48

    Bought 36.754717 JD Gaming for LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.53

Oct 5, 2026

  • 11:55 PM
    0X0xB52C555c18BAFfF4F5B950599c5e6ab217D677Ab-1780410145307
    $50.00

    Bought 94.339623 JD Gaming for LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.53

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

VI1
vibing123
Event PnL
+$53.38
Volume
$7,999.88
Positions
LGD Gaming
MU2
musndk
Event PnL
+$0.73
Volume
$4,791.02
Positions
JD Gaming
PS3
PS003
Event PnL
-$65.44
Volume
$4,446.77
Positions
JD Gaming
444
0x4468…4625
Event PnL
+$10.47
Volume
$2,094.11
Positions
LGD Gaming
MP5
mpyh
Event PnL
+$20.35
Volume
$2,068.29
Positions
LGD Gaming
RI6
richerZ
Event PnL
-$10.00
Volume
$2,000.00
Positions
JD Gaming
TO7
TommyFShelby
Event PnL
-$9.99
Volume
$1,999.95
Positions
LGD Gaming
LQ8
lq4821
Event PnL
+$12.11
Volume
$1,600.61
Positions
JD Gaming

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,550% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 5,450% and Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 5,400%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $264.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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