LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage

$287.4K Vol
Oct 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Team Heretics Academy 100.0%
NightBirds 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Any Player Quadra Kill is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,950% chance of winning. Any Player Penta Kill follows in second place at 9,950%, while Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors sits in third with 950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $287.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Any Player Quadra Kill (9,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Any Player Quadra Kill is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Any Player Penta Kill (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Any Player Penta Kill maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (950%): Sitting in third place with a 950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Any Player Quadra Kill (50%), and Game 1 Winner (5%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Quadra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Any Player Quadra Kill9950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
2Any Player Penta Kill9950.0%—9950¢-9850¢
3Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%—950¢-850¢
4Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%—50¢50¢
5Game 1 Winner5.0%$61.2K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 5 match between Team Heretics Academy and NightBirds in the EMEA Masters Swiss Stage, initially scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Heretics Academy" if Team Heretics Academy win the match against NightBirds.

This market will resolve to "NightBirds" if NightBirds win the match against Team Heretics Academy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 14, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 30, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 30, 2026

  • 01:15 PM
    0X0x0c330baa07d0b6F498AD3f273339E0429090E0DA-1776279116069
    $18.75

    Bought 58.59 NightBirds for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs NightBirds - Game 2 Winner at 0.32

  • 01:15 PM
    0X0x0c330baa07d0b6F498AD3f273339E0429090E0DA-1776279116069
    $18.75

    Bought 58.59 NightBirds for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs NightBirds - Game 2 Winner at 0.32

  • 01:11 PM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $3.85

    Bought 5.065787 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.76

  • 01:11 PM
    LTlthasd
    $22.80

    Bought 30 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.76

  • 01:09 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $5.63

    Bought 7.407895 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.76

  • 12:52 PM
    UEuerri6
    $100.00

    Bought 400 NightBirds for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.25

  • 12:40 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $28.15

    Bought 37.03947 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.76

  • 12:22 PM
    NEneutralwave23
    $46.93

    Bought 61.75 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.76

  • 12:01 PM
    M8M864
    $5.00

    Bought 6.58 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.76

  • 11:50 AM
    WIWinterLibrarian
    $1.00

    Bought 1.315787 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.76

  • 11:12 AM
    ASasakku
    $70.00

    Bought 280 NightBirds for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.25

  • 11:12 AM
    ASasakku
    $4.80

    Bought 20 NightBirds for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.24

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

DE1
delacsynzy1
Event PnL
+$2,577.65
Volume
$9,764.88
Positions
NightBirdsNightBirdsNightBirds
BA2
bajacaligold
Event PnL
+$4.17
Volume
$8,331.61
Positions
NightBirds
SH3
shaw
Event PnL
-$2,685.14
Volume
$7,999.60
Positions
Team Heretics Academy
SU4
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
-$2,142.98
Volume
$6,299.98
Positions
Team Heretics Academy
AA5
Aakskdjd
Event PnL
-$735.25
Volume
$4,978.31
Positions
NightBirdsNightBirds
KI6
KingVon1
Event PnL
+$372.03
Volume
$4,701.08
Positions
Team Heretics AcademyTeam Heretics Academy
HJ7
0xhj37…g443
Event PnL
-$1,001.41
Volume
$3,904.17
Positions
Team Heretics AcademyTeam Heretics Academy
SK8
skadii
Event PnL
+$387.42
Volume
$3,877.88
Positions
NightBirdsNightBirdsUnder+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs NightBirds (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage"?

As of the latest update, Any Player Quadra Kill leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,950% win probability, followed by Any Player Penta Kill at 9,950% and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors at 950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $287.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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