LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage

$238.7K Vol
Sep 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Karmine Corp Blue 100.0%
Team Heretics Academy 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 2.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Odd/Even Total Kills sits in third with 5,800%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $238.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $61.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 2.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 2.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Odd/Even Total Kills (5,800%): Sitting in third place with a 5,800% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Odd/Even Total Kills, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Odd/Even Total Kills (5,800%), Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$61.0K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 2.5 Games9995.0%$2309995¢-9895¢
3Odd/Even Total Kills5800.0%$155800¢-5700¢
4Odd/Even Total Kills5800.0%$155800¢-5700¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills3600.0%$153600¢-3500¢
21Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Team Heretics Academy (+1.5)35.0%$14735¢65¢
22Game 2 Winner5.0%$42.0K5¢95¢
23Match Winner5.0%$135.2K5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between Team Heretics Academy and Karmine Corp Blue in the EMEA Masters Swiss Stage, initially scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Heretics Academy" if Team Heretics Academy win the match against Karmine Corp Blue.

This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp Blue" if Karmine Corp Blue win the match against Team Heretics Academy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 29, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 29, 2026

  • 10:05 AM
    0X0x0c330baa07d0b6F498AD3f273339E0429090E0DA-1776279116069
    $3.90

    Bought 9.75 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner at 0.4

  • 10:01 AM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $3.05

    Bought 5 Karmine Corp Blue for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner at 0.61

  • 09:31 AM
    0X0x0c330baa07d0b6F498AD3f273339E0429090E0DA-1776279116069
    $1.95

    Bought 5 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner at 0.39

  • 09:21 AM
    VCvcycle
    $10.00

    Bought 15.873016 Karmine Corp Blue for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.63

  • 09:08 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $9.32

    Bought 14.793651 Karmine Corp Blue for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.63

  • 09:07 AM
    QWqwerry
    $17.76

    Bought 48 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.37

  • 08:53 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $17.71

    Bought 28.11111 Karmine Corp Blue for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.63

  • 08:52 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $23.31

    Bought 37 Karmine Corp Blue for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.63

  • 08:47 AM
    VAvadvolk77713
    $28.47

    Bought 45.190475 Karmine Corp Blue for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.63

  • 08:46 AM
    AGAGBetsCo
    $7.79

    Bought 20.5 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.38

  • 08:45 AM
    0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027
    $120.00

    Bought 200 Karmine Corp Blue for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.6

  • 08:32 AM
    KOKoorgar
    $4.10

    Bought 10 Team Heretics Academy for LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.41

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

691
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$4.90
Volume
$493.18
Positions
Karmine Corp Blue
SO2
sorty
Event PnL
-$7.50
Volume
$300.00
Positions
Team Heretics Academy
QW3
qwerry
Event PnL
+$0.39
Volume
$231.89
Positions
Team Heretics Academy
OM4
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
-$0.72
Volume
$144.16
Positions
Team Heretics Academy
PH5
phenompoker
Event PnL
+$0.55
Volume
$110.30
Positions
Team Heretics Academy
386
38791873984189
Event PnL
+$2.63
Volume
$103.62
Positions
Karmine Corp Blue
027
024370
Event PnL
-$0.50
Volume
$100.00
Positions
Karmine Corp Blue
NE8
neutralwave23
Event PnL
-$0.40
Volume
$79.90
Positions
Karmine Corp Blue

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 2.5 Games at 9,995% and Odd/Even Total Kills at 5,800%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $238.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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