LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

$116.4K Vol
Nov 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Gen.G 91.5%
LYON 8.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,150% chance of winning. Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) follows in second place at 8,300%, while Game 1 Winner sits in third with 8,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $116.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (9,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $62.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) (8,300%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) maintains a 8,300% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 8,300¢.
  • Game 1 Winner (8,050%): Sitting in third place with a 8,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game 2 Winner (8,050%), Game 3 Winner (7,900%), and Game 4 Winner (6,550%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5) are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner9150.0%$62.4K9150¢-9050¢
2Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)8300.0%$1.8K8300¢-8200¢
3Game 1 Winner8050.0%$1.7K8050¢-7950¢
4Game 2 Winner8050.0%$1.8K8050¢-7950¢
5Game 3 Winner7900.0%$1.8K7900¢-7800¢
6Game 4 Winner6550.0%$8.6K6550¢-6450¢
7Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5)5450.0%$30.1K5450¢-5350¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
32Any Player Penta Kill4750.0%$204750¢-4650¢
33O/U 3.5 Games4450.0%$7.1K4450¢-4350¢
34O/U 4.5 Games1300.0%$1.2K1300¢-1200¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 3 match between Gen.G and LYON in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win the match against LYON.

This market will resolve to "LYON" if LYON win the match against Gen.G.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 2, 2026

  • 12:37 PM
    0X0x11a8D3b6801Edd00d690EbF4eC732afFa3b724c0-1773573485402
    $5.00

    Bought 5.434775 Gen.G for LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.92

  • 12:34 PM
    NIninjagamerpinny
    $4.70

    Bought 5.108687 Gen.G for LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.92

  • 12:34 PM
    WAwaardenn
    $1.04

    Bought 11.555556 LYON for LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.09

  • 12:34 PM
    X2x2e3218b105f4ce606342a31b2cc35537afd91b5d
    $4.60

    Bought 5 Gen.G for LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.92

  • 12:34 PM
    ASascz3ewasd
    $1.00

    Bought 1.08695 Gen.G for LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.92

  • 12:12 PM
    KIkiki456
    $109.69

    Bought 119.22825 Gen.G for LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.92

  • 12:10 PM
    FLfluiddynamics
    $3.61

    Bought 17.190477 LYON for LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner at 0.21

  • 12:07 PM
    JXjxfei
    $1.00

    Bought 1.08695 Gen.G for LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.92

  • 12:06 PM
    DAdancingmonkey1
    $35.15

    Bought 65.1 Gen.G for Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs LYON (+2.5) at 0.54

  • 11:58 AM
    NIninjagamerpinny
    $4.70

    Bought 5.108687 Gen.G for LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.92

  • 11:58 AM
    ——
    $3.95

    Sold 4.34 Gen.G for LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.91

  • 11:58 AM
    X2x2e3218b105f4ce606342a31b2cc35537afd91b5d
    $4.60

    Bought 5 Gen.G for LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.92

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CO1
ColdBlooded
Event PnL
-$89.43
Volume
$28,687.20
Positions
Gen.G
NI2
nigiri99
Event PnL
+$47.51
Volume
$21,807.00
Positions
LYONLYONLYON+1
ME3
MeiGuNiuBi
Event PnL
+$34.04
Volume
$9,379.24
Positions
LYON
TA4
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$44.44
Volume
$8,887.88
Positions
Gen.G
GE5
gejbr
Event PnL
+$102.14
Volume
$7,495.93
Positions
LYONOverLYON
256
254321758
Event PnL
-$31.72
Volume
$6,343.51
Positions
Gen.G
MA7
mamamiyaXD
Event PnL
+$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
LYON
AM8
am100
Event PnL
-$2.40
Volume
$4,453.03
Positions
UnderGen.GGen.G

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,150% win probability, followed by Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5) at 8,300% and Game 1 Winner at 8,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $116.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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