LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

$104.9K Vol
Oct 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Team Vitality 74.5%
GAM Esports 25.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,650% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? follows in second place at 5,450%, while Any Player Penta Kill sits in third with 5,200%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $104.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? (5,650%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,650¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? (5,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? maintains a 5,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,450¢.
  • Any Player Penta Kill (5,200%): Sitting in third place with a 5,200% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Any Player Penta Kill, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5) (5,050%), Odd/Even Total Kills (5,050%), and Any Player Quadra Kill (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5650.0%—5650¢-5550¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
3Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
4Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5)5050.0%$17.8K5050¢-4950¢
5Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
6Any Player Quadra Kill5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
22Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?4400.0%$24400¢-4300¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?4350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
24O/U 2.5 Games4050.0%$2604050¢-3950¢
25Game 2 Winner3150.0%$3.2K3150¢-3050¢
26Game 1 Winner3050.0%$18.2K3050¢-2950¢
27Match Winner2550.0%$65.6K2550¢-2450¢
28Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢
29Any Player Penta Kill1500.0%—1500¢-1400¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 2 match between GAM Esports and Team Vitality in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "GAM Esports" if GAM Esports win the match against Team Vitality.

This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against GAM Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 19, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 5, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 5, 2026

  • 12:23 AM
    FIFireCatMan
    $1.00

    Bought 4 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.25

  • 12:23 AM
    0X0x2D1EeB1c3E188728D343635065bB9Eeee9588213-1759575731135
    $2.10

    Bought 5.121952 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.41

  • 12:22 AM
    0X0x6e5Bc791e132Cc7D4e01154AB3b8287C2C5144a5-1767747604417
    $15.00

    Bought 36.585366 Over for Games Total: O/U 2.5 at 0.41

  • 12:22 AM
    ANandylidi
    $25.00

    Bought 32.894737 Team Vitality for LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.76

  • 12:21 AM
    ——
    $2.00

    Bought 8 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.25

  • 12:20 AM
    TUTur3mai
    $1.10

    Bought 3.4375 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner at 0.32

  • 12:20 AM
    TUTur3mai
    $1.10

    Bought 3.333334 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality - Game 1 Winner at 0.33

  • 12:20 AM
    TUTur3mai
    $1.10

    Bought 4.4 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.25

  • 12:18 AM
    SEsenbonzakura108
    $30.00

    Bought 58.82353 Team Vitality for Game Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs GAM Esports (+1.5) at 0.51

  • 12:17 AM
    BBBBB8866
    $10.00

    Bought 13.157895 Team Vitality for LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.76

  • 12:16 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 4 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.25

  • 12:15 AM
    SISirThulio
    $28.00

    Bought 112 GAM Esports for LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.25

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

ZH1
zhutianwei1
Event PnL
-$182.78
Volume
$9,753.44
Positions
GAM EsportsGAM EsportsGAM Esports
EQ2
equalsignificance
Event PnL
+$9.76
Volume
$9,481.96
Positions
GAM Esports
SO3
SonotME34
Event PnL
-$65.78
Volume
$4,385.53
Positions
Team Vitality
MO4
MoneyFile
Event PnL
-$33.28
Volume
$4,056.77
Positions
GAM EsportsGAM Esports
LO5
loldot
Event PnL
-$1.62
Volume
$3,798.51
Positions
Team VitalityTeam VitalityGAM Esports+1
SK6
Skyfker
Event PnL
-$22.78
Volume
$3,551.15
Positions
Team VitalityTeam Vitality
ZZ7
Zzzz87
Event PnL
-$15.99
Volume
$3,200.00
Positions
Team Vitality
VI8
vibing123
Event PnL
+$111.08
Volume
$3,173.73
Positions
Team Vitality

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,650% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? at 5,450% and Any Player Penta Kill at 5,200%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $104.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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