LoL: Galions vs The Secret Club Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage

$111.1K Vol
Oct 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Galions 100.0%
The Secret Club Esport 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Galions vs The Secret Club Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while Game 3 Winner sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $111.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $30.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Game 3 Winner (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 3 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Match Winner (9,995%), Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs The Secret Club Esport (+1.5) (9,995%), and Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs The Secret Club Esport (+2.5) (9,995%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game 4 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$30.7K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 2 Winner9995.0%$11.6K9995¢-9895¢
3Game 3 Winner9995.0%$22.6K9995¢-9895¢
4Match Winner9995.0%$18.3K9995¢-9895¢
5Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs The Secret Club Esport (+1.5)9995.0%$1009995¢-9895¢
6Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs The Secret Club Esport (+2.5)9995.0%$15.7K9995¢-9895¢
7Game 4 Winner5050.0%$9.0K5050¢-4950¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38O/U 3.5 Games5.0%$3.0K5¢95¢
39O/U 4.5 Games5.0%$475¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL match between Galions and The Secret Club Esport in the EMEA Masters Knockout Stage, initially scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Galions" if Galions win the match against The Secret Club Esport.

This market will resolve to "The Secret Club Esport" if The Secret Club Esport win the match against Galions.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 18, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 4, 2026

  • 12:24 PM
    CACabeca22
    $5.00

    Bought 8.333332 Galions for LoL: Galions vs The Secret Club Esport - Game 4 Winner at 0.6

  • 12:15 PM
    TEtest100100
    $5.05

    Bought 26.578948 The Secret Club Esport for Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs The Secret Club Esport (+2.5) at 0.19

  • 12:15 PM
    ALAleks100
    $80.75

    Bought 425 The Secret Club Esport for Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs The Secret Club Esport (+2.5) at 0.19

  • 12:13 PM
    COColdBlooded
    $842.89

    Bought 1040.61 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.81

  • 12:04 PM
    UMumycmfrdjlyw
    $5.17

    Bought 172.413794 The Secret Club Esport for LoL: Galions vs The Secret Club Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage at 0.03

  • 12:02 PM
    KIkissben2119
    $36.63

    Bought 37.76 Galions for LoL: Galions vs The Secret Club Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage at 0.97

  • 11:59 AM
    SKskadii
    $26.04

    Bought 28 Galions for Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs The Secret Club Esport (+1.5) at 0.93

  • 11:52 AM
    LOlolpredict
    $1,002.04

    Bought 1221.997072 Galions for Game Handicap: GAL (-2.5) vs The Secret Club Esport (+2.5) at 0.82

  • 11:52 AM
    BABaosen0412
    $71.34

    Bought 792.7 The Secret Club Esport for LoL: Galions vs The Secret Club Esport - Game 1 Winner at 0.09

  • 11:27 AM
    MOMoonmind42
    $4.65

    Bought 5 Galions for LoL: Galions vs The Secret Club Esport - Game 2 Winner at 0.93

  • 11:15 AM
    MOmonsterbet
    $75.40

    Bought 123.606558 Galions for LoL: Galions vs The Secret Club Esport - Game 4 Winner at 0.61

  • 11:10 AM
    TEtest100100
    $5.95

    Bought 27.043479 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.22

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CO1
ColdBlooded
Event PnL
+$314.59
Volume
$18,932.84
Positions
GalionsGalionsGalions+3
BA2
Baosen0412
Event PnL
-$89.97
Volume
$6,030.50
Positions
The Secret Club EsportThe Secret Club EsportThe Secret Club Esport
NI3
Nicksypoo
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
The Secret Club Esport
AL4
Aleks100
Event PnL
+$87.70
Volume
$3,817.46
Positions
The Secret Club EsportOverThe Secret Club Esport
FB5
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
-$21.53
Volume
$1,980.88
Positions
The Secret Club EsportOver
WI6
WizardQvQ
Event PnL
-$30.17
Volume
$1,918.00
Positions
GalionsThe Secret Club Esport
NO7
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$9.76
Volume
$1,682.98
Positions
The Secret Club EsportThe Secret Club EsportThe Secret Club Esport+2
PA8
patient-artisan
Event PnL
-$24.36
Volume
$1,672.80
Positions
The Secret Club EsportThe Secret Club Esport

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Galions vs The Secret Club Esport (BO5) - EMEA Masters Knockout Stage"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 9,995% and Game 3 Winner at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $111.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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