LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs

$221.9K Vol
Sep 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
G2 NORD 53.0%
BIG 47.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Game 4 Winner follows in second place at 9,995%, while O/U 3.5 Games sits in third with 9,995%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $221.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $78.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 4 Winner (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 4 Winner maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%): Sitting in third place with a 9,995% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 3.5 Games, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 4.5 Games (9,995%), Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (9,050%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Match Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$78.4K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 4 Winner9995.0%$47.3K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$1.1K9995¢-9895¢
4O/U 4.5 Games9995.0%$1269995¢-9895¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
7Match Winner5250.0%$58.5K5250¢-5150¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
27Any Player Penta Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
28Odd/Even Total Kills950.0%950¢-850¢
29Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%50¢50¢
30Game 3 Winner5.0%$49.6K95¢
31Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)5.0%$295¢
32Game Handicap: G2N (-2.5) vs BIG (+2.5)5.0%$1295¢
33Game Handicap: BIG (-2.5) vs G2 NORD (+2.5)5.0%95¢
34Game Handicap: BIG (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5)5.0%$2095¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between G2 NORD and BIG in the Prime League 1st Division Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "G2 NORD" if G2 NORD win the match against BIG.

This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG win the match against G2 NORD.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 12, 2026

  • 09:09 AM
    $16.96

    Bought 28.266667 G2 NORD for LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs at 0.6

  • 08:38 AM
    HUhungrycrocodile4444
    $2.00

    Bought 4.878049 BIG for LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs at 0.41

  • 08:35 AM
    MRmrlish
    $300.00

    Bought 731.707318 BIG for LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs at 0.41

  • 07:11 AM
    RARayaya
    $49.42

    Bought 83.77 G2 NORD for LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs at 0.59

  • 05:57 AM
    JOjoshybravo96
    $1.60

    Bought 2.711865 G2 NORD for LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs at 0.59

  • 05:54 AM
    AGAGBetsCo
    $1.96

    Bought 7 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.28

  • 05:23 AM
    ZBzbetts
    $7.14

    Bought 17 BIG for LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs at 0.42

  • 05:22 AM
    JZjzr09
    $4.98

    Bought 6.733332 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.74

  • 04:27 AM
    $11.31

    Bought 19.169492 G2 NORD for LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs at 0.59

  • 03:37 AM
    ARarcher111
    $0.98

    Bought 1.66 G2 NORD for LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs at 0.59

  • 03:37 AM
    CAcallmefilliphe
    $1.00

    Bought 1.694914 G2 NORD for LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs at 0.59

  • 03:35 AM
    RKrktbay
    $9.97

    Bought 13.466664 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.74

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

GA1
GatheringData
Event PnL
+$3,484.35
Volume
$6,435.80
Positions
BIG
SK2
skadii
Event PnL
-$2,833.02
Volume
$6,350.12
Positions
G2 NORDG2 NORDG2 NORD
FI3
Finlandforevar
Event PnL
-$1,098.66
Volume
$2,614.10
Positions
G2 NORD
SI4
SimpleTony
Event PnL
+$513.11
Volume
$2,594.71
Positions
BIG
LO5
looppau
Event PnL
+$1.21
Volume
$2,417.02
Positions
BIG
NO6
NoLimitEV
Event PnL
-$999.04
Volume
$1,923.08
Positions
G2 NORD
MR7
mrlish
Event PnL
+$503.58
Volume
$1,360.23
Positions
BIGBIG
AN8
antec
Event PnL
+$394.67
Volume
$1,216.82
Positions
BIGUnderG2 NORD

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: G2 NORD vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Game 4 Winner at 9,995% and O/U 3.5 Games at 9,995%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $221.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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