LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

$124.6K Vol
Oct 14, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
KT Rolster 63.5%
BNK FEARX 36.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,200% chance of winning. Game 4 Winner follows in second place at 5,850%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 5,200%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $124.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,200%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,200¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.4K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 4 Winner (5,850%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 4 Winner maintains a 5,850% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,850¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,200%): Sitting in third place with a 5,200% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes First Blood in Game 4? (5,150%), Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games7200.0%$1.4K7200¢-7100¢
2Game 4 Winner5850.0%—5850¢-5750¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
4First Blood in Game 4?5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
35Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
36Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
37First Blood in Game 2?4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
38First Blood in Game 1?4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
39Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4500.0%—4500¢-4400¢
40Game 2 Winner4250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
41Game 3 Winner4250.0%—4250¢-4150¢
42Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)4250.0%$8.4K4250¢-4150¢
43Game 1 Winner4150.0%$4464150¢-4050¢
44Match Winner3650.0%$114.1K3650¢-3550¢
45O/U 4.5 Games3400.0%$1113400¢-3300¢
46Any Player Penta Kill2000.0%—2000¢-1900¢
47Game Handicap: KT (-2.5) vs BNK FEARX (+2.5)1950.0%—1950¢-1850¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 1 match between BNK FEARX and KT Rolster in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 14, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against KT Rolster.

This market will resolve to "KT Rolster" if KT Rolster win the match against BNK FEARX.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 14, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 13, 2026

  • 12:51 PM
    DOdongge111
    $14.77

    Bought 22.378788 KT Rolster for LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.66

  • 12:30 PM
    VEVeeFriendsDownUnder
    $27.00

    Bought 40.909091 KT Rolster for LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.66

  • 12:08 PM
    USUSER4841518
    $5.00

    Bought 7.575758 KT Rolster for LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.66

  • 12:07 PM
    LEleaguemom
    $41.28

    Bought 133.16 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.31

  • 12:06 PM
    LEleaguemom
    $46.50

    Bought 155 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.3

  • 12:06 PM
    LEleaguemom
    $16.50

    Bought 55 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.3

  • 12:06 PM
    LEleaguemom
    $1.45

    Bought 5 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.29

  • 11:59 AM
    SUsuntori
    $775.52

    Bought 1193.1 KT Rolster for LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.65

  • 11:56 AM
    MIMinne2507
    $198.75

    Bought 265.00447 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.75

  • 11:56 AM
    JAjaijiajaijai
    $65.33

    Bought 108.88 KT Rolster for LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner at 0.6

  • 11:10 AM
    ——
    $1.10

    Bought 1.896552 BNK FEARX for Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 11:10 AM
    ——
    $4.74

    Bought 8.172414 BNK FEARX for Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5) at 0.58

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MA1
madkkee
Event PnL
-$534.97
Volume
$24,657.32
Positions
KT Rolster
DR2
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$501.46
Volume
$20,097.55
Positions
BNK FEARXBNK FEARX
443
0x4468…4625
Event PnL
+$499.87
Volume
$19,995.00
Positions
BNK FEARX
VI4
vibing123
Event PnL
+$386.97
Volume
$16,596.16
Positions
BNK FEARXBNK FEARX
955
9527966
Event PnL
+$2,590.38
Volume
$14,000.00
Positions
KT Rolster
YA6
yaozhuanyibaiwan
Event PnL
+$91.11
Volume
$6,073.69
Positions
BNK FEARX
XI7
xiaoduoxiaoduo
Event PnL
+$27.01
Volume
$5,402.24
Positions
KT Rolster
SK8
Skyfker
Event PnL
-$74.89
Volume
$5,022.50
Positions
KT RolsterKT Rolster

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,200% win probability, followed by Game 4 Winner at 5,850% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 5,200%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $124.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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