
LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,950% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 6,750%, while Game 4 Winner sits in third with 6,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $91.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- O/U 3.5 Games (6,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $98 in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Match Winner (6,750%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 6,750% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,750¢.
- Game 4 Winner (6,150%): Sitting in third place with a 6,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 4 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Game 1 Winner (6,050%), Game 2 Winner (6,050%), and Game 3 Winner (6,050%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | O/U 3.5 Games | 6950.0% | $98 | 6950¢ | -6850¢ |
| 2 | Match Winner | 6750.0% | $78.7K | 6750¢ | -6650¢ |
| 3 | Game 4 Winner | 6150.0% | — | 6150¢ | -6050¢ |
| 4 | Game 1 Winner | 6050.0% | $847 | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 5 | Game 2 Winner | 6050.0% | $239 | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 6 | Game 3 Winner | 6050.0% | $286 | 6050¢ | -5950¢ |
| 7 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 8 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3? | 5300.0% | — | 5300¢ | -5200¢ |
| 9 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 10 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2? | 5250.0% | — | 5250¢ | -5150¢ |
| 11 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 12 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 13 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | 5100.0% | — | 5100¢ | -5000¢ |
| 14 | First Blood in Game 4? | 5050.0% | — | 5050¢ | -4950¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 37 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 38 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 39 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 40 | First Blood in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 41 | First Blood in Game 1? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 42 | First Blood in Game 3? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 43 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 44 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 4900.0% | — | 4900¢ | -4800¢ |
| 45 | Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5) | 4850.0% | $10.9K | 4850¢ | -4750¢ |
| 46 | O/U 4.5 Games | 3150.0% | $39 | 3150¢ | -3050¢ |
| 47 | Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5) | 2550.0% | — | 2550¢ | -2450¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 1 match between BNK FEARX and JD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against JD Gaming.
This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against BNK FEARX.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Oct 11, 2026
- 12:19 PM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$23.57
Bought 71.42 JD Gaming for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.33
- 12:17 PM——$1.00
Bought 3.030304 JD Gaming for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.33
- 12:17 PMWEWelcome2026$1.00
Bought 1.470587 BNK FEARX for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.68
- 12:17 PM0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396$726.00
Bought 2200 JD Gaming for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.33
- 12:01 PMFAfameili2$1.38
Bought 2.029412 BNK FEARX for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.68
- 12:01 PM——$1.00
Bought 3.030304 JD Gaming for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.33
- 11:38 AM——$1.00
Bought 3.030304 JD Gaming for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.33
- 11:38 AMZOZojev$1.00
Bought 1.470587 BNK FEARX for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.68
- 11:08 AMZWzweipunktnull$10.00
Bought 14.705881 BNK FEARX for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.68
- 11:08 AMTHTheBlackPearl2003$3.40
Bought 5 BNK FEARX for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.68
- 11:01 AMMYMythicDan$15.00
Bought 45.454546 JD Gaming for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.33
- 10:47 AMBAbarr1$40.00
Bought 121.212122 JD Gaming for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.33
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs"?
As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,950% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 6,750% and Game 4 Winner at 6,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $91.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
