LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

$91.1K Vol
Oct 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
BNK FEARX 67.5%
JD Gaming 32.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,950% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 6,750%, while Game 4 Winner sits in third with 6,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $91.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (6,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $98 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Match Winner (6,750%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 6,750% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,750¢.
  • Game 4 Winner (6,150%): Sitting in third place with a 6,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 4 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game 1 Winner (6,050%), Game 2 Winner (6,050%), and Game 3 Winner (6,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games6950.0%$986950¢-6850¢
2Match Winner6750.0%$78.7K6750¢-6650¢
3Game 4 Winner6150.0%—6150¢-6050¢
4Game 1 Winner6050.0%$8476050¢-5950¢
5Game 2 Winner6050.0%$2396050¢-5950¢
6Game 3 Winner6050.0%$2866050¢-5950¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
8Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?5300.0%—5300¢-5200¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
10Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
13Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
14First Blood in Game 4?5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
43Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
44Odd/Even Total Kills4900.0%—4900¢-4800¢
45Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)4850.0%$10.9K4850¢-4750¢
46O/U 4.5 Games3150.0%$393150¢-3050¢
47Game Handicap: BFX (-2.5) vs JD Gaming (+2.5)2550.0%—2550¢-2450¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 1 match between BNK FEARX and JD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against JD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against BNK FEARX.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 12, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 11, 2026

  • 12:19 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $23.57

    Bought 71.42 JD Gaming for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.33

  • 12:17 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 3.030304 JD Gaming for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.33

  • 12:17 PM
    WEWelcome2026
    $1.00

    Bought 1.470587 BNK FEARX for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.68

  • 12:17 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $726.00

    Bought 2200 JD Gaming for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.33

  • 12:01 PM
    FAfameili2
    $1.38

    Bought 2.029412 BNK FEARX for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.68

  • 12:01 PM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 3.030304 JD Gaming for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.33

  • 11:38 AM
    ——
    $1.00

    Bought 3.030304 JD Gaming for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.33

  • 11:38 AM
    ZOZojev
    $1.00

    Bought 1.470587 BNK FEARX for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.68

  • 11:08 AM
    ZWzweipunktnull
    $10.00

    Bought 14.705881 BNK FEARX for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.68

  • 11:08 AM
    THTheBlackPearl2003
    $3.40

    Bought 5 BNK FEARX for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.68

  • 11:01 AM
    MYMythicDan
    $15.00

    Bought 45.454546 JD Gaming for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.33

  • 10:47 AM
    BAbarr1
    $40.00

    Bought 121.212122 JD Gaming for LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs at 0.33

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

441
0x4468…4625
Event PnL
+$4.95
Volume
$14,999.79
Positions
JD Gaming
VI2
vibing123
Event PnL
+$187.50
Volume
$12,499.95
Positions
JD Gaming
DR3
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$152.51
Volume
$10,167.58
Positions
JD Gaming
SO4
SonotME34
Event PnL
-$150.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
BNK FEARX
LO5
lolpredict
Event PnL
-$36.76
Volume
$7,352.94
Positions
BNK FEARX
RA6
Rayaya
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
BNK FEARX
HA7
Harmful-inclusion
Event PnL
+$25.05
Volume
$4,999.92
Positions
JD Gaming
ER8
Ericnotire
Event PnL
-$49.99
Volume
$4,872.23
Positions
BNK FEARX

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,950% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 6,750% and Game 4 Winner at 6,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $91.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started