LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

$180.4K Vol
Oct 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
FlyQuest 85.5%
RED Canids 14.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,550% chance of winning. Game 1 Winner follows in second place at 7,650%, while Game 2 Winner sits in third with 7,650%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $180.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (8,550%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,550¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $109.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 1 Winner (7,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 1 Winner maintains a 7,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,650¢.
  • Game 2 Winner (7,650%): Sitting in third place with a 7,650% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (6,550%), Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? (6,450%), and Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) (6,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner8550.0%$109.5K8550¢-8450¢
2Game 1 Winner7650.0%$18.8K7650¢-7550¢
3Game 2 Winner7650.0%$1.9K7650¢-7550¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?6550.0%$1.0K6550¢-6450¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?6450.0%$2686450¢-6350¢
6Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)6050.0%$47.7K6050¢-5950¢
7Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5100.0%$405100¢-5000¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27First Blood in Game 1?4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
28O/U 2.5 Games3350.0%$1.0K3350¢-3250¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?3350.0%$1453350¢-3250¢
30Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?3350.0%—3350¢-3250¢
31Any Player Penta Kill2000.0%—2000¢-1900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between FlyQuest and RED Canids in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against RED Canids.

This market will resolve to "RED Canids" if RED Canids win the match against FlyQuest.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 8, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 8, 2026

  • 01:51 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $9.09

    Bought 53.470589 RED Canids for LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.17

  • 01:44 AM
    IMimannoel6
    $19.20

    Bought 112.941177 RED Canids for LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.17

  • 01:44 AM
    CHchet1101
    $300.00

    Bought 357.142856 FlyQuest for LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.84

  • 01:28 AM
    SASaiku106
    $50.00

    Bought 84.745763 FlyQuest for Game Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5) at 0.59

  • 01:25 AM
    0X0xcE04eaFf6D164A5D1e7aBD6029B29A6988f792BA-1777610586130
    $1.00

    Bought 1.190475 FlyQuest for LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.84

  • 01:20 AM
    NEneutralwave23
    $57.30

    Bought 74.41 FlyQuest for LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winner at 0.77

  • 01:07 AM
    DOdotblue
    $3.54

    Bought 20.82353 RED Canids for LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.17

  • 01:01 AM
    0X0xc6E92FD78dfa21f7363e38c6560A0E31975e4c31-1760519153528
    $4.20

    Bought 5 FlyQuest for LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.84

  • 01:01 AM
    FAfameili2
    $1.58

    Bought 2 FlyQuest for LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner at 0.79

  • 12:48 AM
    HAHasManAFuture
    $1.00

    Bought 1.265823 FlyQuest for LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner at 0.79

  • 12:47 AM
    0X0xE89132EF9b721A363FCf1AAC77806C631A3DE3dd-1776309089570
    $55.62

    Bought 66.214281 FlyQuest for LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.84

  • 12:42 AM
    ARAru021
    $5.00

    Bought 6.329114 FlyQuest for LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winner at 0.79

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

VE1
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$8.10
Volume
$4,083.19
Positions
RED CanidsOverRED Canids+2
Q12
q136084
Event PnL
+$14.92
Volume
$2,990.62
Positions
FlyQuest
AM3
am100
Event PnL
+$4.49
Volume
$2,049.10
Positions
FlyQuestFlyQuestUnder
LO4
lolpredict
Event PnL
+$8.24
Volume
$1,648.35
Positions
FlyQuest
SH5
SHYnuguriYSKMkhan
Event PnL
+$8.08
Volume
$1,616.12
Positions
RED CanidsRED Canids
D06
0xd0e9…0728
Event PnL
+$8.07
Volume
$1,614.27
Positions
RED Canids
JA7
jaijiajaijai
Event PnL
-$21.82
Volume
$1,513.33
Positions
RED Canids
LI8
Lidongo
Event PnL
+$7.50
Volume
$1,499.96
Positions
RED Canids

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: FlyQuest vs RED Canids (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,550% win probability, followed by Game 1 Winner at 7,650% and Game 2 Winner at 7,650%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $180.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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