LoL: Estral Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs

$335.3K Vol
Oct 2, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
LOS 84.5%
Estral Esports 15.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Estral Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,150% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 5,200%, while Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors sits in third with 5,150%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $335.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (6,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.3K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,200%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 5,200% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,200¢.
  • Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,150%): Sitting in third place with a 5,150% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%), Any Player Penta Kill (5,000%), and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay a Dragon are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games6150.0%$3.3K6150¢-6050¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
3Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
4Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Estral Esports (+1.5)5000.0%$18.3K5000¢-4900¢
31Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs LOS (+1.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
33Game 4 Winner4200.0%—4200¢-4100¢
34Game 3 Winner4050.0%$2.5K4050¢-3950¢
35Game 2 Winner3550.0%$19.9K3550¢-3450¢
36O/U 4.5 Games2600.0%$4.3K2600¢-2500¢
37Game Handicap: LOS (-2.5) vs Estral Esports (+2.5)2450.0%$1.5K2450¢-2350¢
38Match Winner1950.0%$115.6K1950¢-1850¢
39Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs LOS (+2.5)50.0%—50¢50¢
40Game 1 Winner5.0%$170.0K5¢95¢
41Odd/Even Total Kills5.0%—5¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Final match between Estral Esports and LOS in the CBLOL Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Estral Esports" if Estral Esports win the match against LOS.

This market will resolve to "LOS" if LOS win the match against Estral Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 1, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 1, 2026

  • 01:07 PM
    ARArxtanG
    $20.14

    Bought 30.982922 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.65

  • 01:02 PM
    LOlordbillad
    $69.11

    Bought 197.457143 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs at 0.35

  • 12:58 PM
    JOjoel1239015
    $80.00

    Bought 181.818182 Estral Esports for Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Estral Esports (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 12:55 PM
    LElejendsjian
    $27.20

    Bought 80 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs at 0.34

  • 12:44 PM
    0X0xB0250c4487cAebf3A822Ac3Fa4CcF5D0f69E174D-1786702231000
    $2.90

    Sold 4.4 LOS for LoL: Estral Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs at 0.66

  • 12:42 PM
    0X0xFe77AE932bbB0174543F7312992CEd10DbC28fE4-1780652519271
    $4.30

    Bought 10 Estral Esports for Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Estral Esports (+1.5) at 0.43

  • 12:42 PM
    Q1q136084
    $6.30

    Bought 15 Estral Esports for Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Estral Esports (+1.5) at 0.42

  • 12:39 PM
    SPsport909bot
    $1.00

    Bought 2.941177 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs at 0.34

  • 12:38 PM
    Q1q136084
    $8.60

    Bought 20 Estral Esports for Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Estral Esports (+1.5) at 0.43

  • 12:33 PM
    GUGustin06
    $20.00

    Bought 45.454546 Estral Esports for Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Estral Esports (+1.5) at 0.44

  • 12:33 PM
    0X0xB0250c4487cAebf3A822Ac3Fa4CcF5D0f69E174D-1786702231000
    $3.00

    Bought 4.412353 LOS for LoL: Estral Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs at 0.68

  • 12:32 PM
    TAtatkamatv78
    $21.47

    Bought 32.530302 LOS for LoL: Estral Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs at 0.66

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

QF1
qfwdsd1
Event PnL
-$4,132.48
Volume
$20,128.04
Positions
LOS
692
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
-$2,175.25
Volume
$16,975.60
Positions
LOSLOSLOS+5
SH3
shaw
Event PnL
-$1,992.87
Volume
$10,772.28
Positions
LOS
CO4
ColdBlooded
Event PnL
-$15.50
Volume
$10,199.93
Positions
Estral Esports
FB5
0xfB07…2542
Event PnL
+$719.74
Volume
$9,427.55
Positions
Estral EsportsLOSEstral Esports+2
SK6
skadii
Event PnL
+$1,891.77
Volume
$8,702.36
Positions
Estral EsportsOver
MA7
madkkee
Event PnL
-$1,159.94
Volume
$7,999.99
Positions
LOS
JU8
justaluckydude
Event PnL
+$1,009.46
Volume
$4,864.86
Positions
Estral EsportsEstral Esports

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Estral Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,150% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 5,200% and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors at 5,150%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $335.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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