LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs

$248.9K Vol
Oct 7, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Estral Esports 58.2%
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas 41.8%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 3 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 3.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Odd/Even Total Kills sits in third with 7,500%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $248.9K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 3 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 3 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $73.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 3.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Odd/Even Total Kills (7,500%): Sitting in third place with a 7,500% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Odd/Even Total Kills, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game 4 Winner (7,450%), O/U 4.5 Games (6,350%), and Match Winner (5,825%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay a Dragon are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 3 Winner9995.0%$73.1K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$4.0K9995¢-9895¢
3Odd/Even Total Kills7500.0%—7500¢-7400¢
4Game 4 Winner7450.0%$1.4K7450¢-7350¢
5O/U 4.5 Games6350.0%$7256350¢-6250¢
6Match Winner5825.0%$81.4K5825¢-5725¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5150.0%—5150¢-5050¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Game Handicap: KBM (-1.5) vs Estral Esports (+1.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
27Both Teams Slay a Dragon4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
31Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%—950¢-850¢
32Both Teams Slay a Dragon950.0%—950¢-850¢
33Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%—950¢-850¢
34Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
35Any Player Penta Kill950.0%—950¢-850¢
36Odd/Even Total Kills950.0%—950¢-850¢
37Game 1 Winner5.0%$27.6K5¢95¢
38Game 2 Winner5.0%$50.4K5¢95¢
39Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+1.5)5.0%$1.0K5¢95¢
40Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+2.5)5.0%$9.1K5¢95¢
41Game Handicap: KBM (-2.5) vs Estral Esports (+2.5)5.0%$205¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Final match between Estral Esports and KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas in the CBLOL Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Estral Esports" if Estral Esports win the match against KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas.

This market will resolve to "KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas" if KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas win the match against Estral Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 6, 2026

  • 01:36 PM
    NONothingToAdd
    $14.45

    Bought 17 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.85

  • 01:16 PM
    SHShadyyym
    $15.58

    Bought 18.116278 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.86

  • 01:15 PM
    DIDivinev
    $11.00

    Bought 110 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs at 0.1

  • 01:03 PM
    RARa1nmaker
    $2.25

    Bought 5.625 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+2.5) at 0.4

  • 01:03 PM
    RARa1nmaker
    $2.05

    Bought 5.394737 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.38

  • 01:01 PM
    0X0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408
    $2.40

    Bought 6 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+2.5) at 0.4

  • 01:01 PM
    0X0x3340d23dE3275300f88ABFD8803B2f9Ea15f13C8-1769572617408
    $2.28

    Bought 6 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.38

  • 01:01 PM
    AMam100
    $51.00

    Bought 127.51 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+2.5) at 0.4

  • 01:01 PM
    AMam100
    $50.02

    Bought 131.62 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.38

  • 12:54 PM
    DIDivinev
    $137.24

    Bought 370.93 KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas for Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+2.5) at 0.37

  • 12:54 PM
    PPpphlucas
    $20.00

    Bought 52.631579 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.38

  • 12:51 PM
    DOdoubtme
    $100.00

    Bought 153.84 Estral Esports for Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (+2.5) at 0.65

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

DI1
Divinev
Event PnL
-$32.45
Volume
$4,429.02
Positions
KaBuM! Ilha das LendasKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
CA2
CAcap
Event PnL
+$6.95
Volume
$1,129.96
Positions
OverKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
GO3
gosleep
Event PnL
-$11.87
Volume
$1,113.82
Positions
UnderEstral Esports
GA4
Gasplant
Event PnL
+$8.49
Volume
$844.00
Positions
UnderKaBuM! Ilha das Lendas
TA5
Tangyuanmeupai
Event PnL
+$1.67
Volume
$835.56
Positions
Estral Esports
AM6
am100
Event PnL
-$4.39
Volume
$755.54
Positions
OverKaBuM! Ilha das LendasOver
MI7
minhbhvta
Event PnL
+$8.73
Volume
$701.34
Positions
Estral Esports
NO8
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$16.71
Volume
$688.64
Positions
KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Estral Esports vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 3 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 3.5 Games at 9,995% and Odd/Even Total Kills at 7,500%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $248.9K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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