LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs

$154.7K Vol
Sep 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Estral Esports 95.5%
9z Globant 4.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 1 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,875% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 9,820%, while Game 2 Winner sits in third with 9,180%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $154.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 1 Winner (9,875%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 1 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,875¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $30.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Match Winner (9,820%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 9,820% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,820¢.
  • Game 2 Winner (9,180%): Sitting in third place with a 9,180% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game 3 Winner (8,820%), Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs 9z Globant (+2.5) (6,250%), and Game 4 Winner (6,100%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 1 Winner9875.0%$30.0K9875¢-9775¢
2Match Winner9820.0%$47.1K9820¢-9720¢
3Game 2 Winner9180.0%$13.1K9180¢-9080¢
4Game 3 Winner8820.0%$17.4K8820¢-8720¢
5Game Handicap: EST (-2.5) vs 9z Globant (+2.5)6250.0%$32.9K6250¢-6150¢
6Game 4 Winner6100.0%$1.5K6100¢-6000¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Game Handicap: EST (-1.5) vs 9z Globant (+1.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38O/U 3.5 Games1500.0%$12.7K1500¢-1400¢
39O/U 4.5 Games850.0%—850¢-750¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between Estral Esports and 9z Globant in the CBLOL Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Estral Esports" if Estral Esports win the match against 9z Globant.

This market will resolve to "9z Globant" if 9z Globant win the match against Estral Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 29, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 29, 2026

  • 09:16 PM
    LOLOL-King
    $10.69

    Bought 11.14 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner at 0.96

  • 09:16 PM
    0X0x64e36DBc2c24Cf1031E50F51FB36952415d7b275-1770773838910
    $19.40

    Bought 20 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner at 0.97

  • 09:16 PM
    NOnorm1e69
    $9.70

    Bought 10 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner at 0.97

  • 09:15 PM
    NOnorm1e69
    $19.20

    Bought 20 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner at 0.96

  • 09:14 PM
    ASAstonMastin
    $52.80

    Bought 55 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner at 0.96

  • 09:14 PM
    3838791873984189
    $2.40

    Sold 240 9z Globant for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs at 0.01

  • 09:14 PM
    3838791873984189
    $9.93

    Bought 10.0303 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs at 0.99

  • 09:14 PM
    SBsbsigner
    $4.95

    Bought 5 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs at 0.99

  • 09:14 PM
    0X0x64e36DBc2c24Cf1031E50F51FB36952415d7b275-1770773838910
    $19.20

    Bought 20 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner at 0.96

  • 09:14 PM
    JAjackmeghivott
    $0.44

    Bought 8.75 9z Globant for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner at 0.05

  • 09:14 PM
    NOnorm1e69
    $48.00

    Bought 50 Estral Esports for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner at 0.96

  • 09:14 PM
    ARarahbo
    $2.54

    Bought 50.88 9z Globant for LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant - Game 1 Winner at 0.05

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CO1
ColdBlooded
Event PnL
+$249.15
Volume
$43,856.66
Positions
Estral EsportsEstral EsportsEstral Esports+2
PU2
purplegatto
Event PnL
-$63.86
Volume
$12,920.05
Positions
9z Globant9z Globant
NO3
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$32.78
Volume
$11,890.35
Positions
9z Globant9z Globant9z Globant+1
BL4
bloodmaster
Event PnL
+$495.16
Volume
$10,461.28
Positions
UnderEstral EsportsEstral Esports+2
BA5
Baosen0412
Event PnL
-$5.26
Volume
$5,734.30
Positions
9z Globant9z Globant9z Globant
CS6
csgamer11
Event PnL
-$6.77
Volume
$5,307.73
Positions
9z Globant9z Globant9z Globant
NI7
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$54.32
Volume
$4,227.00
Positions
Over9z Globant9z Globant+2
AC8
acorp
Event PnL
-$23.10
Volume
$3,776.44
Positions
Over9z Globant9z Globant

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Estral Esports vs 9z Globant (BO5) - CBLOL Promotion Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 1 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,875% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 9,820% and Game 2 Winner at 9,180%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $154.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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