LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs

$71.6K Vol
Sep 8, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Nongshim Esports Academy 50.5%
Dplus KIA Challengers 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,250% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 6,450%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 6,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $71.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,250%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,250¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,450%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 6,450% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,450¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,450%): Sitting in third place with a 6,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,450%), Any Player Penta Kill (5,400%), and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,300%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Quadra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games7250.0%$1.0K7250¢-7150¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon6450.0%6450¢-6350¢
5Any Player Penta Kill5400.0%5400¢-5300¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
10Game 4 Winner5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Match Winner4950.0%$67.7K4950¢-4850¢
20Game 1 Winner4850.0%$1.6K4850¢-4750¢
21Game 2 Winner4850.0%$6284850¢-4750¢
22Game 3 Winner4850.0%$6654850¢-4750¢
23Both Teams Slay a Dragon4150.0%4150¢-4050¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon4100.0%4100¢-4000¢
25O/U 4.5 Games3550.0%$6033550¢-3450¢
26Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs Nongshim Esports Academy (+1.5)3350.0%$2003350¢-3250¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
30Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
31Any Player Quadra Kill2850.0%2850¢-2750¢
32Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
33Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor2800.0%2800¢-2700¢
34Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
35Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors2750.0%2750¢-2650¢
36Any Player Penta Kill2600.0%2600¢-2500¢
37Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
38Any Player Penta Kill2000.0%2000¢-1900¢
39Game Handicap: DK.C (-2.5) vs Nongshim Esports Academy (+2.5)1450.0%$4951450¢-1350¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Dplus KIA Challengers and Nongshim Esports Academy in the LCK Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win the match against Nongshim Esports Academy.

This market will resolve to "Nongshim Esports Academy" if Nongshim Esports Academy win the match against Dplus KIA Challengers.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 8, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 7, 2026

  • 08:39 PM
    KAkantesher
    $30.46

    Bought 59.725491 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner at 0.51

  • 08:39 PM
    0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027
    $32.50

    Bought 65 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 3 Winner at 0.5

  • 08:39 PM
    0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027
    $79.00

    Bought 158 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winner at 0.5

  • 08:18 PM
    $77.14

    Bought 157.428572 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.49

  • 08:18 PM
    $197.35

    Bought 402.75 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.49

  • 08:17 PM
    XEXerebusX
    $5.00

    Bought 10.416667 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.48

  • 08:16 PM
    KOkottenok
    $5.00

    Bought 10.416667 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.48

  • 08:15 PM
    RORobertLee443
    $50.00

    Bought 102.040817 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.49

  • 08:13 PM
    $792.11

    Bought 1616.549184 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.49

  • 08:13 PM
    CUcustus
    $2.90

    Bought 5.471697 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.53

  • 08:13 PM
    $129.50

    Bought 269.791667 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.48

  • 08:12 PM
    $191.25

    Bought 406.914894 Nongshim Esports Academy for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs at 0.47

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NE1
neutralwave23
Event PnL
-$14.26
Volume
$960.12
Positions
OverDplus KIA ChallengersOver
BI2
bit754
Event PnL
+$4.37
Volume
$855.17
Positions
Dplus KIA Challengers
483
48moneymaker
Event PnL
-$20.56
Volume
$819.49
Positions
Dplus KIA ChallengersDplus KIA Challengers
LM4
lmtscapt
Event PnL
+$5.73
Volume
$728.42
Positions
Nongshim Esports AcademyUnderNongshim Esports Academy+1
AN5
antec
Event PnL
+$8.67
Volume
$632.32
Positions
Nongshim Esports AcademyUnderUnder+1
SN6
SnakeBall
Event PnL
-$2.84
Volume
$568.98
Positions
Dplus KIA ChallengersNongshim Esports Academy
1W7
1winstreak1
Event PnL
-$2.62
Volume
$523.30
Positions
Nongshim Esports Academy
NO8
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$9.05
Volume
$277.00
Positions
Nongshim Esports Academy

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,250% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 6,450% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 6,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $71.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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