LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs

$622.6K Vol
Sep 27, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Dplus KIA Challengers 67.5%
DN SOOPers Challengers 32.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 2 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 3.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while Match Winner sits in third with 6,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $622.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 2 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $312.9K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 3.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • Match Winner (6,450%): Sitting in third place with a 6,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Match Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game 4 Winner (6,300%), Game 3 Winner (6,150%), and Odd/Even Total Kills (5,750%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$312.9K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$1.5K9995¢-9895¢
3Match Winner6450.0%$90.5K6450¢-6350¢
4Game 4 Winner6300.0%$7416300¢-6200¢
5Game 3 Winner6150.0%$13.5K6150¢-6050¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills5750.0%$535750¢-5650¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$535000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$535000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$535000¢-4900¢
35First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+1.5)5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40O/U 4.5 Games4950.0%$9254950¢-4850¢
41Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)3250.0%$8.8K3250¢-3150¢
42Odd/Even Total Kills200.0%$53200¢-100¢
43Game 1 Winner5.0%$185.5K5¢95¢
44Game Handicap: DK.C (-2.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+2.5)5.0%$4.5K5¢95¢
45Game Handicap: DNS.C (-2.5) vs Dplus KIA Challengers (+2.5)5.0%$305¢95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 2 match between Dplus KIA Challengers and DN SOOPers Challengers in the World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA Challengers" if Dplus KIA Challengers win the match against DN SOOPers Challengers.

This market will resolve to "DN SOOPers Challengers" if DN SOOPers Challengers win the match against Dplus KIA Challengers.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 27, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 27, 2026

  • 12:07 AM
    VEVeryLucky888
    $2.46

    Sold 9.82 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.25

Sep 26, 2026

  • 11:35 PM
    LELeoDDA
    $219.44

    Bought 378.341695 Dplus KIA Challengers for Game Handicap: DK.C (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5) at 0.58

  • 11:19 PM
    MImitgnik
    $1.00

    Bought 1.333332 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.75

  • 11:17 PM
    ZEZe8Bets
    $201.52

    Bought 610.663244 Dplus KIA Challengers for Game Handicap: DK.C (-2.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+2.5) at 0.33

  • 11:13 PM
    N0n00bee
    $3.50

    Bought 5 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.7

  • 11:13 PM
    Q1q136084
    $53.56

    Bought 77.62 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.69

  • 10:39 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $14.28

    Bought 52.888889 DN SOOPers Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.27

  • 10:19 PM
    WHwhaggif
    $30.00

    Bought 40 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs at 0.75

  • 10:19 PM
    WHwhaggif
    $20.15

    Bought 30.530302 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 3 Winner at 0.66

  • 10:19 PM
    WHwhaggif
    $20.11

    Bought 30.467576 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner at 0.66

  • 10:19 PM
    WHwhaggif
    $19.89

    Bought 30.606061 Dplus KIA Challengers for LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winner at 0.65

  • 09:52 PM
    ETEtEllerAndet-w2
    $8.14

    Bought 11.7971 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.69

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

MA1
Malfunction.
Event PnL
+$148.62
Volume
$52,451.52
Positions
DN SOOPers Challengers
GV2
gvrgb326552g65
Event PnL
-$6,398.71
Volume
$19,871.59
Positions
Dplus KIA Challengers
F23
0xF201…4616
Event PnL
-$4,035.63
Volume
$16,334.28
Positions
Dplus KIA ChallengersDN SOOPers Challengers
BA4
baisjex
Event PnL
-$1,580.80
Volume
$16,068.31
Positions
DN SOOPers ChallengersDplus KIA Challengers
JA5
jaytee158
Event PnL
-$5,978.35
Volume
$14,479.71
Positions
Dplus KIA Challengers
BB6
BBQChickenisthebesttt
Event PnL
+$3,448.61
Volume
$12,999.89
Positions
DN SOOPers ChallengersDN SOOPers ChallengersDN SOOPers Challengers
9E7
0x9e3e…9396
Event PnL
+$3,118.98
Volume
$12,624.43
Positions
DN SOOPers ChallengersDplus KIA ChallengersUnder+2
AG8
agent2
Event PnL
+$593.69
Volume
$11,946.20
Positions
DN SOOPers ChallengersDplus KIA Challengers

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 2 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 3.5 Games at 9,995% and Match Winner at 6,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $622.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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