LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

$119.1K Vol
Nov 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Bilibili Gaming 58.5%
Dplus KIA 41.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,400% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor follows in second place at 5,000%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $119.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,400%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,400¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $859 in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%), Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%), and Any Player Penta Kill (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games7400.0%$8597400¢-7300¢
2Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Game 3 Winner4850.0%$9.0K4850¢-4750¢
28Game 1 Winner4750.0%$8.1K4750¢-4650¢
29Game 2 Winner4750.0%$8.5K4750¢-4650¢
30Game 4 Winner4600.0%—4600¢-4500¢
31Match Winner4150.0%$88.3K4150¢-4050¢
32O/U 4.5 Games3650.0%$873650¢-3550¢
33Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)2500.0%$3.0K2500¢-2400¢
34Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)1200.0%$1.3K1200¢-1100¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 1 match between Dplus KIA and Bilibili Gaming in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against Bilibili Gaming.

This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against Dplus KIA.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 3, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Nov 2, 2026

  • 12:43 PM
    HYhydra1248
    $8.48

    Bought 11.012986 Bilibili Gaming for Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5) at 0.77

  • 12:35 PM
    WAwaardenn
    $1.40

    Bought 3.333334 Dplus KIA for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.42

  • 12:28 PM
    WOwoxwar
    $2.12

    Bought 5.04762 Dplus KIA for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.42

  • 12:15 PM
    WOwoxwar
    $2.06

    Sold 5.02 Dplus KIA for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.41

  • 12:14 PM
    WOwoxwar
    $2.12

    Bought 5.04762 Dplus KIA for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.42

  • 12:12 PM
    SUsuntori
    $72.19

    Bought 122.355931 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.59

  • 12:06 PM
    JXjxfei
    $5.00

    Bought 8.474575 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.59

  • 12:03 PM
    CRcreamy-vibes
    $5.00

    Bought 11.904762 Dplus KIA for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.42

  • 12:01 PM
    SUsuntori
    $9.52

    Bought 16.135592 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.59

  • 11:55 AM
    303000to6666
    $275.00

    Bought 466.101695 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.59

  • 11:54 AM
    303000to6666
    $1,100.00

    Bought 1235.955054 Bilibili Gaming for Game Handicap: DK (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5) at 0.89

  • 11:47 AM
    SUsuntori
    $60.00

    Bought 101.694916 Bilibili Gaming for LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs at 0.59

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

691
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
-$117.73
Volume
$23,753.00
Positions
Dplus KIADplus KIADplus KIA+2
252
254321758
Event PnL
+$34.57
Volume
$14,999.99
Positions
Bilibili GamingBilibili GamingBilibili Gaming
AM3
am100
Event PnL
-$48.55
Volume
$14,261.09
Positions
Dplus KIADplus KIADplus KIA+2
TA4
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$252.32
Volume
$10,815.87
Positions
Bilibili GamingBilibili Gaming
KA5
KateBollinger
Event PnL
+$20.96
Volume
$8,499.37
Positions
Bilibili Gaming
TI6
tianweizhu2
Event PnL
-$14.99
Volume
$6,000.93
Positions
Bilibili Gaming
PP7
ppaappaa
Event PnL
-$12.43
Volume
$5,278.24
Positions
Bilibili Gaming
HA8
Haode123789
Event PnL
-$85.94
Volume
$5,029.16
Positions
Bilibili Gaming

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Dplus KIA vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,400% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 5,000% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $119.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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