LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs

$90.6K Vol
Sep 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Cupid Esports 60.5%
Maryville University 39.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,150% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 6,050%, while Game 2 Winner sits in third with 5,650%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $90.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,150%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,150¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $1.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Match Winner (6,050%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 6,050% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,050¢.
  • Game 2 Winner (5,650%): Sitting in third place with a 5,650% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game 3 Winner (5,650%), Game 1 Winner (5,600%), and Game 4 Winner (5,500%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games7150.0%$1.5K7150¢-7050¢
2Match Winner6050.0%$84.9K6050¢-5950¢
3Game 2 Winner5650.0%$6475650¢-5550¢
4Game 3 Winner5650.0%$385650¢-5550¢
5Game 1 Winner5600.0%$1.6K5600¢-5500¢
6Game 4 Winner5500.0%5500¢-5400¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5300.0%5300¢-5200¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5100.0%5100¢-5000¢
21Any Player Penta Kill5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
33Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
34Both Teams Slay a Dragon4300.0%4300¢-4200¢
35Game Handicap: CPD (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5)4200.0%$1.7K4200¢-4100¢
36O/U 4.5 Games3350.0%$1773350¢-3250¢
37Game Handicap: CPD (-2.5) vs Maryville University (+2.5)2200.0%$622200¢-2100¢
38Any Player Penta Kill2100.0%2100¢-2000¢
39Any Player Penta Kill1100.0%1100¢-1000¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between Cupid Esports and Maryville University in the North American Challengers League Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Cupid Esports" if Cupid Esports win the match against Maryville University.

This market will resolve to "Maryville University" if Maryville University win the match against Cupid Esports.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 25, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 11, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 11, 2026

  • 12:30 PM
    AUAuramemnon
    $204.83

    Bought 347.169492 Cupid Esports for LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs at 0.59

  • 12:07 PM
    STstatisticalnoise
    $5.00

    Bought 11.904762 Maryville University for LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs at 0.42

  • 12:06 PM
    1313yy
    $400.21

    Bought 690.01 Cupid Esports for LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs at 0.58

  • 12:04 PM
    0X0xA6A20236D04D0A663053eb61d6AdCc7c003E22FD-1789097503002
    $250.00

    Bought 431.034483 Cupid Esports for LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs at 0.58

  • 12:03 PM
    WAwanone365
    $5.00

    Bought 11.627907 Maryville University for LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs at 0.43

  • 11:54 AM
    BRbravewarriorrrrrr
    $13.33

    Bought 31.74 Maryville University for LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs at 0.42

  • 11:54 AM
    KIkir9
    $41.36

    Bought 96.186047 Maryville University for LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs at 0.43

  • 11:54 AM
    WAWalmartShrimp
    $13.97

    Bought 33.26 Maryville University for LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs at 0.42

  • 11:54 AM
    SUsunnyhussain96
    $398.25

    Bought 675 Cupid Esports for LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs at 0.59

  • 11:47 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $4.23

    Bought 10.07 Maryville University for LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs at 0.42

  • 11:44 AM
    HOHopelessPlayer
    $2.94

    Bought 9.8 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.3

  • 11:44 AM
    MIminhbhvta
    $300.29

    Bought 405.790811 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.74

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

GO1
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
+$5.13
Volume
$10,559.26
Positions
Maryville University
692
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
-$75.69
Volume
$9,720.39
Positions
Maryville UniversityUnderMaryville University+1
DD3
Ddrroo
Event PnL
+$77.31
Volume
$4,820.20
Positions
Cupid Esports
TE4
Terry.CHEN
Event PnL
-$13.87
Volume
$2,774.58
Positions
Cupid Esports
RA5
Rayaya
Event PnL
+$12.52
Volume
$2,499.95
Positions
Cupid Esports
ST6
StasPanda
Event PnL
+$36.00
Volume
$2,400.00
Positions
Cupid Esports
PL7
pltrkr111
Event PnL
-$34.88
Volume
$2,325.56
Positions
Maryville University
A38
0xa3B5…0736
Event PnL
-$44.52
Volume
$2,280.95
Positions
Maryville University

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Cupid Esports vs Maryville University (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,150% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 6,050% and Game 2 Winner at 5,650%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $90.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

Get Started