LoL: CITA Kaizen vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs

$263.4K Vol
Sep 18, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
eSuba 100.0%
CITA Kaizen 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: CITA Kaizen vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Game 3 Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. O/U 3.5 Games follows in second place at 9,995%, while O/U 4.5 Games sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $263.4K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Game 3 Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game 3 Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $8.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, O/U 3.5 Games maintains a 9,995% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,995¢.
  • O/U 4.5 Games (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward O/U 4.5 Games, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Odd/Even Total Kills (9,950%), Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (9,050%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay a Dragon are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Game 3 Winner9995.0%$8.0K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$10.6K9995¢-9895¢
3O/U 4.5 Games9950.0%$559950¢-9850¢
4Odd/Even Total Kills9950.0%$209950¢-9850¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor9050.0%$209050¢-8950¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon9050.0%$209050¢-8950¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon9050.0%$209050¢-8950¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon9050.0%$209050¢-8950¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%$20950¢-850¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%$20950¢-850¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon950.0%$20950¢-850¢
20Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%$20950¢-850¢
21Odd/Even Total Kills950.0%$20950¢-850¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%$20950¢-850¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%$20950¢-850¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills950.0%$20950¢-850¢
25Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%$20950¢-850¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%$20950¢-850¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills950.0%$20950¢-850¢
28Game 2 Winner5.0%$12.1K95¢
29Game 4 Winner5.0%$29.1K95¢
30Match Winner5.0%$74.5K95¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between CITA Kaizen and eSuba in the Hitpoint Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "CITA Kaizen" if CITA Kaizen win the match against eSuba.

This market will resolve to "eSuba" if eSuba win the match against CITA Kaizen.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 17, 2026

  • 12:41 AM
    AIAIluka
    $1.10

    Sold 10 eSuba for LoL: CITA Kaizen vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.11

Sep 16, 2026

  • 09:40 PM
    $1.10

    Bought 10 Under for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.11

  • 09:40 PM
    $7.50

    Bought 10 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.75

  • 09:38 PM
    CRcrossfire1
    $1.10

    Bought 10 CITA Kaizen for LoL: CITA Kaizen vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.11

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

OP1
opopv2
Event PnL
-$70.43
Volume
$29,944.54
Positions
UndereSuba
NE2
newwman
Event PnL
+$2,435.02
Volume
$8,376.55
Positions
eSubaOver
LI3
littlelonely777
Event PnL
+$35.04
Volume
$7,745.00
Positions
Over
BB4
BBX1GbDS011
Event PnL
-$41.11
Volume
$5,804.51
Positions
eSuba
LE5
LewLewZZ
Event PnL
+$2.50
Volume
$4,999.00
Positions
eSuba
CH6
chw7951
Event PnL
-$947.05
Volume
$4,255.80
Positions
CITA Kaizen
BO7
bondbondbond
Event PnL
-$2.00
Volume
$3,319.89
Positions
UndereSuba
DE8
delacsynzy
Event PnL
-$1,600.00
Volume
$3,286.00
Positions
eSuba

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: CITA Kaizen vs eSuba (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Game 3 Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by O/U 3.5 Games at 9,995% and O/U 4.5 Games at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $263.4K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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