LoL: Colossal Gaming vs SU Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage

$96.7K Vol
Sep 30, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Colossal Gaming 100.0%
SU Esports 0.1%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Colossal Gaming vs SU Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor follows in second place at 5,000%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $96.7K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $96.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%), Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%), and Any Player Penta Kill (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner9995.0%$96.7K9995¢-9895¢
2Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 4 match between Colossal Gaming and SU Esports in the EMEA Masters Swiss Stage, initially scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Colossal Gaming" if Colossal Gaming win the match against SU Esports.

This market will resolve to "SU Esports" if SU Esports win the match against Colossal Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 13, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 29, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 29, 2026

  • 12:43 PM
    VIvip190666
    $280.00

    Bought 1400 Colossal Gaming for LoL: Colossal Gaming vs SU Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.2

  • 12:40 PM
    0X0x546a5166295433dddA571cdE5d077Fc46abD1988-1770842732162
    $1.66

    Bought 2.049378 SU Esports for LoL: Colossal Gaming vs SU Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.81

  • 12:39 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $2.85

    Bought 14.25 Colossal Gaming for LoL: Colossal Gaming vs SU Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.2

  • 12:33 PM
    VIvip190666
    $191.60

    Bought 958 Colossal Gaming for LoL: Colossal Gaming vs SU Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.2

  • 12:32 PM
    MAMarlaSinger1999
    $81.00

    Bought 100 SU Esports for LoL: Colossal Gaming vs SU Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.81

  • 12:14 PM
    SOSonotME34
    $1,619.99

    Bought 1999.99 SU Esports for LoL: Colossal Gaming vs SU Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.81

  • 12:14 PM
    GOGordon-Gekko
    $4.86

    Bought 6 SU Esports for LoL: Colossal Gaming vs SU Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.81

  • 11:14 AM
    BYBYTasb1
    $220.00

    Bought 1100 Colossal Gaming for LoL: Colossal Gaming vs SU Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.2

  • 10:55 AM
    SKskadii
    $121.50

    Bought 150 SU Esports for LoL: Colossal Gaming vs SU Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.81

  • 10:55 AM
    SKskadii
    $121.50

    Bought 150 SU Esports for LoL: Colossal Gaming vs SU Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.81

  • 10:55 AM
    SKskadii
    $121.50

    Bought 150 SU Esports for LoL: Colossal Gaming vs SU Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.81

  • 10:32 AM
    0X0xdFD18545c953839C78173c2faf87Fc505A839ac5-1771550037945
    $1.96

    Bought 9.8 Colossal Gaming for LoL: Colossal Gaming vs SU Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage at 0.2

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

CO1
ColdBlooded
Event PnL
-$1.07
Volume
$15,442.51
Positions
SU Esports
NO2
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$0.40
Volume
$6,199.60
Positions
Colossal Gaming
693
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$6.83
Volume
$5,756.86
Positions
SU Esports
SI4
SimpleTony
Event PnL
+$8.52
Volume
$4,999.99
Positions
Colossal Gaming
NI5
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$74.57
Volume
$4,971.00
Positions
Colossal Gaming
A86
a8999
Event PnL
-$60.00
Volume
$4,000.00
Positions
Colossal Gaming
VI7
vip190666
Event PnL
-$82.53
Volume
$3,301.10
Positions
Colossal Gaming
BA8
Baosen0412
Event PnL
-$2.92
Volume
$2,048.39
Positions
Colossal Gaming

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Colossal Gaming vs SU Esports (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 5,000% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $96.7K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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