LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

$993.5K Vol
Sep 28, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Team Liquid 79.5%
Cloud9 20.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is dominating the market with an overwhelming 9,995% chance of winning. Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? follows in second place at 9,950%, while Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? sits in third with 9,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $993.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (9,995%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams Slay a Dragon is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 9,995¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? (9,950%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? maintains a 9,950% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 9,950¢.
  • Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? (9,950%): Sitting in third place with a 9,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes O/U 3.5 Games (6,550%), Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) (6,150%), and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams Slay a Dragon9995.0%—9995¢-9895¢
2Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$7.3K9950¢-9850¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$209950¢-9850¢
4O/U 3.5 Games6550.0%$6.6K6550¢-6450¢
5Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)6150.0%$31.5K6150¢-6050¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35First Blood in Game 1?5000.0%$1005000¢-4900¢
36First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?5000.0%$6355000¢-4900¢
40Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
42Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?4950.0%$4.6K4950¢-4850¢
43First Blood in Game 2?4900.0%$1004900¢-4800¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?4750.0%—4750¢-4650¢
45Game 4 Winner4650.0%$434650¢-4550¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4250.0%$1.5K4250¢-4150¢
47Game 3 Winner4200.0%$4294200¢-4100¢
48Game 2 Winner4050.0%$12.3K4050¢-3950¢
49Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?3650.0%$5.2K3650¢-3550¢
50Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)3450.0%$2.4K3450¢-3350¢
51Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?3450.0%$4733450¢-3350¢
52O/U 4.5 Games3050.0%$5.0K3050¢-2950¢
53Match Winner2050.0%$411.0K2050¢-1950¢
54Game 1 Winner5.0%$504.3K5¢95¢
55Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?0.0%—0¢100¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Cloud9 and Team Liquid in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 27, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against Team Liquid.

This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Cloud9.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 27, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 27, 2026

  • 12:01 PM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $84.35

    Bought 175.73 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? at 0.48

  • 11:56 AM
    MJMJ1337
    $144.00

    Bought 300 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3? at 0.48

  • 11:52 AM
    0X0x746295855BE6F49fE2DA2AcCD69eA34b3Cf23Ac3-1762436472554
    $100.00

    Bought 196.078432 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.51

  • 11:52 AM
    SMsm8926523
    $4.46

    Bought 8.92 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.5

  • 11:51 AM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $4.90

    Bought 10 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.49

  • 11:51 AM
    SMsm8926523
    $4.46

    Bought 8.92 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.5

  • 11:13 AM
    0X0x02CFa625e814647D742C8162a80e444De982813C-1772890585128
    $153.06

    Sold 306.12 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 0.5

  • 10:42 AM
    PLPLthegoat
    $2.24

    Bought 4.571429 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.49

  • 10:41 AM
    APApuuuuh
    $15.90

    Bought 30.576922 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? at 0.52

  • 10:06 AM
    0X0xc0a7bb260f013EaCe9abD8d72d62640080376541-1787995955693
    $2.42

    Bought 4.93 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 0.49

  • 10:06 AM
    0X0xCa6016434EfEe0DA7059a947Dc5700097C6a9e28-1772308226614
    $10.00

    Bought 27.777778 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.36

  • 09:48 AM
    ALalex-rus
    $4.89

    Bought 9.403847 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 0.52

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FO1
FORTNITEMASTER888
Event PnL
+$154.70
Volume
$239,143.83
Positions
Team Liquid
OM2
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
+$9,134.73
Volume
$203,381.20
Positions
Cloud9Cloud9
TA3
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
-$3,863.68
Volume
$81,940.11
Positions
Team LiquidTeam LiquidTeam Liquid+1
SU4
Sunshine.Smile
Event PnL
-$6,038.99
Volume
$37,141.47
Positions
Team Liquid
695
0x69E3…1163
Event PnL
+$1,419.50
Volume
$33,349.58
Positions
Cloud9
RE6
RevengeRange
Event PnL
+$4,695.98
Volume
$30,828.89
Positions
Cloud9
VE7
Vetchoux
Event PnL
+$1,173.60
Volume
$26,080.00
Positions
Cloud9
F28
0xF201…4616
Event PnL
-$4,424.88
Volume
$26,000.69
Positions
Team Liquid

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams Slay a Dragon leads the field as the frontrunner with a 9,995% win probability, followed by Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? at 9,950% and Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? at 9,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $993.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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