LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

$102.8K Vol
Sep 13, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Cloud9 84.5%
Shopify Rebellion 15.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 8,450% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay a Dragon follows in second place at 7,200%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 7,200%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $102.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (8,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 8,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $67.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,200%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay a Dragon maintains a 7,200% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,200¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,200%): Sitting in third place with a 7,200% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Slay a Dragon (7,200%), Game 2 Winner (7,150%), and Game 1 Winner (7,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Game 3 Winner are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner8450.0%$67.1K8450¢-8350¢
2Both Teams Slay a Dragon7200.0%7200¢-7100¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon7200.0%7200¢-7100¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon7200.0%7200¢-7100¢
5Game 2 Winner7150.0%$1017150¢-7050¢
6Game 1 Winner7050.0%$2637050¢-6950¢
7Game 3 Winner7050.0%$1017050¢-6950¢
8Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)6950.0%$14.9K6950¢-6850¢
9Game 4 Winner6250.0%$1.7K6250¢-6150¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon6150.0%6150¢-6050¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon6150.0%6150¢-6050¢
12O/U 3.5 Games5950.0%$8.6K5950¢-5850¢
13Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?5550.0%5550¢-5450¢
14Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?5500.0%5500¢-5400¢
15First Blood in Game 1?5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
16First Blood in Game 2?5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
17First Blood in Game 3?5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
18Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
19Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?5450.0%5450¢-5350¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
21Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
27First Blood in Game 4?5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
28Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?4450.0%4450¢-4350¢
35Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4100.0%4100¢-4000¢
36Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?4100.0%4100¢-4000¢
37Game Handicap: C9 (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)4050.0%$3.9K4050¢-3950¢
38Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?3850.0%$6.3K3850¢-3750¢
39Any Player Quadra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
40Any Player Quadra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
41Any Player Quadra Kill2900.0%2900¢-2800¢
42Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
43Any Player Penta Kill2500.0%2500¢-2400¢
44O/U 4.5 Games2250.0%$4.1K2250¢-2150¢
45Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1600.0%1600¢-1500¢
46Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1600.0%1600¢-1500¢
47Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor1600.0%1600¢-1500¢
48Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1100.0%1100¢-1000¢
49Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1100.0%1100¢-1000¢
50Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors1100.0%1100¢-1000¢
51Any Player Penta Kill1000.0%1000¢-900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Cloud9 and Shopify Rebellion in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against Shopify Rebellion.

This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Cloud9.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 12, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 12, 2026

  • 10:52 AM
    HOHopelessPlayer
    $1.91

    Bought 3.031745 Under for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.63

  • 10:52 AM
    XZxzc52
    $39.10

    Bought 102.894737 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.38

  • 10:40 AM
    KAKalp0703
    $3.50

    Bought 9.210527 Over for Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? at 0.38

  • 10:10 AM
    0X0x3252dE913d9323667f21F4d88fA1F996fC282293-1720383165418
    $4.92

    Bought 6.929575 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner at 0.71

  • 10:09 AM
    KIkiwiiw
    $4.00

    Bought 22.222223 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.18

  • 09:59 AM
    QFqfq44
    $29.00

    Bought 34.939758 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.83

  • 09:36 AM
    0X0x978BD4DB4c26bB0Be145b5A95b1113Bba6692aDd-1771856332657
    $1.10

    Sold 5 Over for Games Total: O/U 4.5 at 0.22

  • 09:30 AM
    HHhhhgggsss
    $24.09

    Bought 75.27 Shopify Rebellion for Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.32

  • 09:30 AM
    HHhhhgggsss
    $17.81

    Bought 55.67 Shopify Rebellion for Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.32

  • 09:26 AM
    KOkocjo4vj
    $25.00

    Bought 30.120482 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.83

  • 09:14 AM
    2323kka
    $23.00

    Bought 27.710841 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.83

  • 09:13 AM
    0X0x95527cA5a4295A44c4fEbB85F16f66b8252E2520-1767597674753
    $3.47

    Bought 5.028983 Cloud9 for Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) at 0.69

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

B71
0xB70c…8717
Event PnL
-$8.33
Volume
$29,973.09
Positions
Cloud9Cloud9
TA2
TAIWANNUMBERONE
Event PnL
+$82.47
Volume
$15,653.51
Positions
Cloud9Cloud9
AN3
Anjun
Event PnL
+$66.67
Volume
$13,333.23
Positions
Shopify Rebellion
BY4
BYTasb001
Event PnL
-$43.75
Volume
$8,750.00
Positions
Shopify Rebellion
695
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$5.39
Volume
$7,406.41
Positions
UnderUnderCloud9+3
SI6
SimpleTony
Event PnL
+$27.50
Volume
$5,500.00
Positions
Shopify Rebellion
PU7
purplegatto
Event PnL
-$75.51
Volume
$5,070.49
Positions
Shopify Rebellion
KI8
kingflop
Event PnL
+$21.57
Volume
$4,309.73
Positions
Shopify RebellionOver

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 8,450% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 7,200% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 7,200%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $102.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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