LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In

$105.8K Vol
Oct 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Karmine Corp 67.5%
Cloud9 32.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 6,950% chance of winning. Odd/Even Total Kills follows in second place at 5,400%, while Odd/Even Total Kills sits in third with 5,200%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $105.8K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (6,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 6,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $4.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Odd/Even Total Kills (5,400%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Odd/Even Total Kills maintains a 5,400% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,400¢.
  • Odd/Even Total Kills (5,200%): Sitting in third place with a 5,200% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Odd/Even Total Kills, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Odd/Even Total Kills (5,100%), Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%), and Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games6950.0%$4.1K6950¢-6850¢
2Odd/Even Total Kills5400.0%—5400¢-5300¢
3Odd/Even Total Kills5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
4Odd/Even Total Kills5100.0%—5100¢-5000¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
34Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5)4850.0%$8.1K4850¢-4750¢
35Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
36Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4650.0%$3.1K4650¢-4550¢
37Game 4 Winner4350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
38Game 1 Winner4050.0%$1.1K4050¢-3950¢
39Game 2 Winner3950.0%$1.3K3950¢-3850¢
40Game 3 Winner3950.0%$5983950¢-3850¢
41Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?3700.0%—3700¢-3600¢
42Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?3650.0%—3650¢-3550¢
43Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?3550.0%—3550¢-3450¢
44Match Winner3250.0%$82.1K3250¢-3150¢
45O/U 4.5 Games3050.0%$6.4K3050¢-2950¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?3000.0%—3000¢-2900¢
47Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5)2350.0%$2492350¢-2250¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Upper Bracket Semifinal 2 match between Cloud9 and Karmine Corp in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Cloud9" if Cloud9 win the match against Karmine Corp.

This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Cloud9.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 14, 2026

  • 11:50 PM
    TUTur3mai
    $1.00

    Bought 3.030304 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In at 0.33

  • 11:45 PM
    0X0xc0066BF4D562183A49f4570F5B68ecD962d65d0b-1780174254021
    $5.00

    Bought 7.04 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.71

  • 11:44 PM
    SAsambraino
    $2.00

    Bought 2.8169 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.71

  • 11:44 PM
    SAsambraino
    $5.00

    Bought 15.151516 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In at 0.33

  • 11:40 PM
    KUkurtz180
    $8.00

    Bought 33.333334 Karmine Corp for Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Cloud9 (+2.5) at 0.24

  • 11:16 PM
    CACallmeboi
    $100.80

    Bought 210 Karmine Corp for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) at 0.48

  • 11:15 PM
    EJejentertainment
    $5.00

    Bought 7.35294 Karmine Corp for LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In at 0.68

  • 11:13 PM
    CHCherryB16
    $342.00

    Bought 1036.363637 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In at 0.33

  • 11:10 PM
    JZjzr09
    $7.00

    Bought 10.294118 Karmine Corp for LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In at 0.68

  • 11:09 PM
    DVdvc2000000
    $3.00

    Bought 6.25 Karmine Corp for Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) at 0.48

  • 10:55 PM
    SBsbsigner
    $181.17

    Bought 549.01 Cloud9 for LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In at 0.33

  • 10:52 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.90

    Bought 2.794118 Karmine Corp for LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In at 0.68

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

HG1
HGJGJPQ8
Event PnL
+$35.69
Volume
$24,999.91
Positions
Karmine Corp
PU2
purplegatto
Event PnL
-$53.41
Volume
$10,887.50
Positions
Cloud9
LO3
lolpredict
Event PnL
-$53.26
Volume
$10,653.32
Positions
Karmine Corp
BC4
0xBc43…7816
Event PnL
+$50.08
Volume
$9,999.94
Positions
Karmine Corp
EL5
elenaarybakin21
Event PnL
+$46.88
Volume
$9,375.00
Positions
Cloud9
F46
0xf4e7…92e8
Event PnL
-$30.00
Volume
$6,000.00
Positions
Cloud9
RA7
Rayaya
Event PnL
-$25.00
Volume
$5,000.00
Positions
Cloud9
BI8
binkybarnes55
Event PnL
-$19.63
Volume
$4,907.50
Positions
Cloud9Cloud9

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Worlds Play-In"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 6,950% win probability, followed by Odd/Even Total Kills at 5,400% and Odd/Even Total Kills at 5,200%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $105.8K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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