
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational EMEA Qualifier Playoffs
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational EMEA Qualifier Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+2.5) is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,500% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor follows in second place at 5,000%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $151.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+2.5) (7,500%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+2.5) is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,500¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $12.1K in volume.
🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers
- Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
- Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.
🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)
Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:
- Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%), Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%), and Any Player Penta Kill (5,000%).
- Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+2.5) | 7500.0% | $12.1K | 7500¢ | -7400¢ |
| 2 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 3 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 4 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 5 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 6 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 7 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 8 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 9 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 10 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 11 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 12 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 13 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 14 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 15 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 16 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 17 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 18 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 19 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 20 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 21 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 22 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 23 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 24 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 25 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 26 | Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 27 | Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 28 | Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 29 | Any Player Quadra Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 30 | Any Player Penta Kill | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 31 | Odd/Even Total Kills | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 32 | First Blood in Game 3? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 33 | First Blood in Game 2? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 34 | First Blood in Game 4? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 35 | First Blood in Game 1? | 5000.0% | — | 5000¢ | -4900¢ |
| 36 | Game Handicap: MKF (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5) | 4995.0% | $6.0K | 4995¢ | -4895¢ |
| 37 | Game 4 Winner | 4950.0% | $1.9K | 4950¢ | -4850¢ |
| 38 | Game 1 Winner | 5.0% | $33.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 39 | Game 2 Winner | 5.0% | $27.4K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 40 | Game 3 Winner | 5.0% | $12.1K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 41 | Match Winner | 5.0% | $49.6K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 42 | O/U 3.5 Games | 5.0% | $7.9K | 5¢ | 95¢ |
| 43 | O/U 4.5 Games | 5.0% | $256 | 5¢ | 95¢ |
Result Rules
This market refers to the LoL Semifinal match between Bushido Wildcats and Movistar KOI Fénix in the World Star Challengers Invitational EMEA Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Bushido Wildcats" if Bushido Wildcats win the match against Movistar KOI Fénix.
This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI Fénix" if Movistar KOI Fénix win the match against Bushido Wildcats.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 27, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 13, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Sep 13, 2026
- 12:10 PM636324lilaoba$69.80
Bought 109.07 Bushido Wildcats for Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+2.5) at 0.64
- 12:09 PM636324lilaoba$332.20
Bought 519.06 Bushido Wildcats for Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+2.5) at 0.64
- 12:06 PM636324lilaoba$241.76
Bought 377.75 Bushido Wildcats for Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+2.5) at 0.64
- 12:06 PM636324lilaoba$31.85
Bought 51.37 Bushido Wildcats for Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+2.5) at 0.62
- 12:06 PM636324lilaoba$9.15
Bought 15 Bushido Wildcats for Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+2.5) at 0.61
- 12:04 PM636324lilaoba$7.27
Bought 12.11 Bushido Wildcats for Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+2.5) at 0.6
- 11:58 AMAJAJSV$5.04
Bought 12.6 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.4
- 11:57 AMMMmmasd1123$147.01
Bought 241 Over for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.61
- 11:52 AMHEHedgeAccount$108.07
Bought 251.325582 Movistar KOI Fénix for Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+2.5) at 0.43
- 11:48 AMBAbarkov1$201.48
Bought 347.379311 Bushido Wildcats for Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+2.5) at 0.58
- 11:48 AMHEHedgeAccount$173.48
Bought 354.0468 Movistar KOI Fénix for Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+2.5) at 0.49
- 11:46 AMHEHedgeAccount$195.73
Bought 466.032766 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.42
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Movistar KOI Fénix (BO5) - World Star Challengers Invitational EMEA Qualifier Playoffs"?
As of the latest update, Game Handicap: MKF (-2.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+2.5) leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,500% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 5,000% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $151.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
