LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

$109.2K Vol
Oct 6, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
HANJIN BRION 79.5%
Natus Vincere 20.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,950% chance of winning. Game 2 Winner follows in second place at 7,150%, while Game 1 Winner sits in third with 6,950%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $109.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (7,950%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,950¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $70.1K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 2 Winner (7,150%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 2 Winner maintains a 7,150% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 7,150¢.
  • Game 1 Winner (6,950%): Sitting in third place with a 6,950% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) (5,350%), Any Player Penta Kill (5,250%), and Odd/Even Total Kills (5,200%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner7950.0%$70.1K7950¢-7850¢
2Game 2 Winner7150.0%$10.0K7150¢-7050¢
3Game 1 Winner6950.0%$7.6K6950¢-6850¢
4Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)5350.0%$13.8K5350¢-5250¢
5Any Player Penta Kill5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%—4950¢-4850¢
21First Blood in Game 2?4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
22Odd/Even Total Kills4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
23Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?4750.0%$5364750¢-4650¢
24First Blood in Game 1?4700.0%—4700¢-4600¢
25Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?4350.0%$8.4K4350¢-4250¢
26O/U 2.5 Games3950.0%$983950¢-3850¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?2850.0%—2850¢-2750¢
28Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?2700.0%—2700¢-2600¢
29Any Player Penta Kill1950.0%—1950¢-1850¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 3 match between HANJIN BRION and Natus Vincere in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against Natus Vincere.

This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against HANJIN BRION.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

691
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
-$13.35
Volume
$17,050.69
Positions
Natus VincereNatus Vincere
0X2
0x0x23…h8c9
Event PnL
+$71.43
Volume
$14,285.60
Positions
Natus Vincere
OM3
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
+$8.45
Volume
$12,022.00
Positions
Natus VincereNatus Vincere
VI4
vibing123
Event PnL
+$40.00
Volume
$7,999.99
Positions
HANJIN BRION
KU5
kunkun168
Event PnL
-$33.72
Volume
$6,744.59
Positions
HANJIN BRIONHANJIN BRION
ZH6
zhutianwei1
Event PnL
-$54.88
Volume
$6,229.16
Positions
HANJIN BRION
SI7
SimpleTony
Event PnL
+$30.03
Volume
$5,999.99
Positions
Natus Vincere
GE8
Gengfrauds
Event PnL
-$6.76
Volume
$5,313.03
Positions
HANJIN BRIONHANJIN BRION

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,950% win probability, followed by Game 2 Winner at 7,150% and Game 1 Winner at 6,950%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $109.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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