LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage

$87.5K Vol
Oct 3, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
HANJIN BRION 50.5%
JD Gaming 49.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 5,100% chance of winning. Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor follows in second place at 5,000%, while Both Teams Slay a Dragon sits in third with 5,000%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $87.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (5,100%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 5,100¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $87.5K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor maintains a 5,000% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,000¢.
  • Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,000%): Sitting in third place with a 5,000% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams Slay a Dragon, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%), Any Player Quadra Kill (5,000%), and Any Player Penta Kill (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Odd/Even Total Kills are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner5100.0%$87.5K5100¢-5000¢
2Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
3Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
4Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
5Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between HANJIN BRION and JD Gaming in the Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "HANJIN BRION" if HANJIN BRION win the match against JD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against HANJIN BRION.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 2, 2026

  • 11:46 PM
    SUsuntori
    $5.71

    Bought 11.42 JD Gaming for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.5

  • 11:24 PM
    MIMingLao
    $17.50

    Bought 35 JD Gaming for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.5

  • 11:11 PM
    0X0x591d13B5d39d33c4A8cAc4a3a7a7a75B60A0f4Df-1778770894396
    $99.58

    Bought 199.167648 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.5

  • 11:07 PM
    DEdeyka
    $10.20

    Bought 20 JD Gaming for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.51

  • 11:03 PM
    BRBrjensen
    $15.00

    Bought 30 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.5

  • 11:00 PM
    AMam100
    $175.25

    Bought 343.63 JD Gaming for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.51

  • 10:57 PM
    KAKaliforn
    $300.00

    Bought 600 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.5

  • 10:48 PM
    JAJAMJAMJAM4
    $244.73

    Bought 489.45 JD Gaming for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.5

  • 10:45 PM
    MKmk3over
    $992.94

    Bought 1946.935 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.51

  • 10:43 PM
    0X0x0CAa55E2D885216592c6C4888D6Ee78B7E1Cc16c-1775267814358
    $10.00

    Bought 20 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.5

  • 10:39 PM
    VMvmpedra
    $30.20

    Bought 59.215687 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.51

  • 10:31 PM
    JVjvpl
    $38.18

    Bought 74.853334 HANJIN BRION for LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage at 0.51

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

DR1
drunkdegenerate
Event PnL
+$1,071.40
Volume
$13,257.12
Positions
JD Gaming
692
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
+$222.13
Volume
$10,500.00
Positions
JD Gaming
VI3
vibing123
Event PnL
+$250.11
Volume
$10,001.42
Positions
JD Gaming
OM4
omnibus-076daa
Event PnL
+$517.27
Volume
$8,560.20
Positions
JD Gaming
275
274fjeuhb38264hu
Event PnL
-$87.81
Volume
$5,893.12
Positions
HANJIN BRION
DE6
delacsynzy1
Event PnL
-$501.31
Volume
$5,564.29
Positions
HANJIN BRION
0F7
0x0FDb…3107
Event PnL
+$432.88
Volume
$5,092.55
Positions
JD Gaming
AM8
am100
Event PnL
-$42.57
Volume
$4,423.70
Positions
JD Gaming

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: HANJIN BRION vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 5,100% win probability, followed by Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor at 5,000% and Both Teams Slay a Dragon at 5,000%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $87.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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