LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

$97.1K Vol
Nov 9, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Bilibili Gaming 56.5%
T1 43.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, O/U 3.5 Games is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,350% chance of winning. Match Winner follows in second place at 5,650%, while Game 1 Winner sits in third with 5,450%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $97.1K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,350%): Currently commanding the highest probability, O/U 3.5 Games is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,350¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.3K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Match Winner (5,650%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Match Winner maintains a 5,650% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 5,650¢.
  • Game 1 Winner (5,450%): Sitting in third place with a 5,450% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 1 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Game 2 Winner (5,450%), Game 3 Winner (5,450%), and Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Both Teams Slay a Dragon are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1O/U 3.5 Games7350.0%$3.3K7350¢-7250¢
2Match Winner5650.0%$91.2K5650¢-5550¢
3Game 1 Winner5450.0%$385450¢-5350¢
4Game 2 Winner5450.0%$185450¢-5350¢
5Game 3 Winner5450.0%$285450¢-5350¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Game 4 Winner4350.0%—4350¢-4250¢
32Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs T1 (+1.5)3900.0%$1.9K3900¢-3800¢
33O/U 4.5 Games3550.0%$4273550¢-3450¢
34Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5)1550.0%$811550¢-1450¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and T1 in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against T1.

This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Bilibili Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KA1
KateBollinger
Event PnL
+$31.44
Volume
$36,317.95
Positions
Bilibili Gaming
IM2
imjustalarp
Event PnL
-$50.00
Volume
$10,000.00
Positions
T1
GA3
GAMBLINGISCANCER69
Event PnL
+$18.31
Volume
$8,796.73
Positions
T1T1
JE4
Jeiss
Event PnL
-$33.15
Volume
$6,632.23
Positions
T1
XI5
xiaxxxx
Event PnL
+$17.76
Volume
$5,833.26
Positions
Bilibili GamingUnder
KI6
KINGCHAMA
Event PnL
-$22.93
Volume
$4,592.75
Positions
T1
IQ7
Iqosnxjdk
Event PnL
-$10.84
Volume
$4,172.68
Positions
T1
TH8
TheOldCaptain.
Event PnL
-$18.52
Volume
$3,705.68
Positions
Bilibili Gaming

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs"?

As of the latest update, O/U 3.5 Games leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,350% win probability, followed by Match Winner at 5,650% and Game 1 Winner at 5,450%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $97.1K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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