LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A

$102K Vol
Sep 23, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Arctic Pandas 74.0%
Pyramid IV Esports 26.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Match Winner is dominating the market with an overwhelming 7,450% chance of winning. Game 1 Winner follows in second place at 6,250%, while Game 2 Winner sits in third with 6,050%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $102K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Match Winner (7,450%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Match Winner is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 7,450¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $12.0K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Game 1 Winner (6,250%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Game 1 Winner maintains a 6,250% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 6,250¢.
  • Game 2 Winner (6,050%): Sitting in third place with a 6,050% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Game 2 Winner, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes Any Player Penta Kill (5,200%), Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,050%), and Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,050%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like Any Player Quadra Kill are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Match Winner7450.0%$12.0K7450¢-7350¢
2Game 1 Winner6250.0%$42.0K6250¢-6150¢
3Game 2 Winner6050.0%$33.1K6050¢-5950¢
4Any Player Penta Kill5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
6Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4950.0%4950¢-4850¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills4900.0%4900¢-4800¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
20O/U 2.5 Games4450.0%$7444450¢-4350¢
21Game Handicap: AP (-1.5) vs Pyramid IV Esports (+1.5)4100.0%$14.2K4100¢-4000¢
22Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢
23Any Player Penta Kill2550.0%2550¢-2450¢

Result Rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower Bracket Semifinal match between Arctic Pandas and Pyramid IV Esports in the EMEA Masters Group A, initially scheduled for September 22, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Arctic Pandas" if Arctic Pandas win the match against Pyramid IV Esports.

This market will resolve to "Pyramid IV Esports" if Pyramid IV Esports win the match against Arctic Pandas.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 22, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 22, 2026

  • 12:08 PM
    DOdoglover4571
    $14.75

    Bought 25 Arctic Pandas for LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.59

  • 12:08 PM
    DOdoglover4571
    $14.75

    Bought 25 Arctic Pandas for LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.59

  • 12:08 PM
    LELeslielin
    $17.40

    Bought 30 Arctic Pandas for LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.58

  • 12:06 PM
    0X0xa3B5dA76FfBBE3325BB1b40A30f6A4634962941a-1777921240736
    $301.25

    Bought 734.76 Pyramid IV Esports for LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.41

  • 12:05 PM
    CHcharay12
    $7.66

    Bought 12.15625 Pyramid IV Esports for Game Handicap: AP (-1.5) vs Pyramid IV Esports (+1.5) at 0.63

  • 12:05 PM
    LELeslielin
    $22.42

    Bought 38 Arctic Pandas for LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.59

  • 12:05 PM
    LELeslielin
    $11.80

    Bought 20 Arctic Pandas for LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.59

  • 12:05 PM
    LELeslielin
    $11.80

    Bought 20 Arctic Pandas for LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.59

  • 12:04 PM
    RARadioFreeZerg
    $3.05

    Bought 7.43 Pyramid IV Esports for LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.41

  • 12:04 PM
    LELeslielin
    $21.92

    Bought 37.15 Arctic Pandas for LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.59

  • 12:03 PM
    LELeslielin
    $441.83

    Bought 818.21 Arctic Pandas for LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.54

  • 12:02 PM
    LELeslielin
    $5.30

    Bought 10 Arctic Pandas for LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.53

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

GO1
Gooooooollllllllll
Event PnL
+$220.09
Volume
$17,024.70
Positions
Pyramid IV EsportsPyramid IV EsportsPyramid IV Esports
692
0x6918…0027
Event PnL
-$914.67
Volume
$14,860.90
Positions
Pyramid IV EsportsPyramid IV EsportsPyramid IV Esports+1
LE3
Leslielin
Event PnL
-$45.02
Volume
$13,204.84
Positions
Arctic PandasArctic PandasArctic Pandas
A34
0xa3B5…0736
Event PnL
-$61.86
Volume
$7,116.04
Positions
Pyramid IV EsportsPyramid IV EsportsPyramid IV Esports+1
AM5
am100
Event PnL
-$215.48
Volume
$6,746.02
Positions
Pyramid IV EsportsPyramid IV EsportsPyramid IV Esports
-G6
-Guapo--
Event PnL
-$33.57
Volume
$4,820.08
Positions
Arctic PandasArctic Pandas
PL7
pltrkr111
Event PnL
-$294.99
Volume
$4,210.96
Positions
Pyramid IV EsportsPyramid IV Esports
LE8
letitrun
Event PnL
-$33.91
Volume
$4,140.01
Positions
Arctic PandasArctic PandasArctic Pandas

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "LoL: Arctic Pandas vs Pyramid IV Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A"?

As of the latest update, Match Winner leads the field as the frontrunner with a 7,450% win probability, followed by Game 1 Winner at 6,250% and Game 2 Winner at 6,050%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $102K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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