SE Palmeiras vs. LDU de Quito - More Markets

$116.6K Vol
Sep 10, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
SE Palmeiras 52.0%
LDU de Quito 48.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “SE Palmeiras vs. LDU de Quito - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 35.5% chance of winning. Both Teams to Score in First Half follows in second place at 12%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $116.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (35.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 36¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.7K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams to Score in First Half (12%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams to Score in First Half maintains a 12% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 12¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score35.5%$3.7K36¢65¢
2Both Teams to Score in First Half12.0%$5612¢88¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for September 9 at 6:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 35.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 35.6% — yielding an impressive +0.1% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV35.5%35.6%+0.1%
Both Teams to Score in First Half12.0%12.0%0.0%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 9, 2026

  • 09:18 PM
    0X0x3252dE913d9323667f21F4d88fA1F996fC282293-1720383165418
    $4.92

    Bought 6.929575 Under for SE Palmeiras vs. LDU de Quito: 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.71

  • 09:17 PM
    $19.57

    Bought 25.415582 Under for SE Palmeiras vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 3.5 at 0.77

  • 09:17 PM
    0X0xe6ed154790125EfF218B7F445aeca16b444bc478-1768087534574
    $190.00

    Bought 206.521737 Over for SE Palmeiras vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 0.5 at 0.92

  • 09:16 PM
    TITimeOfMyLifee
    $2.80

    Bought 5 LDU de Quito for Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) at 0.56

  • 09:16 PM
    EVEVryBet4
    $47.88

    Bought 85.5 LDU de Quito for Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) at 0.56

  • 09:15 PM
    DRdrex0o
    $50.00

    Bought 89.285715 LDU de Quito for Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) at 0.56

  • 09:15 PM
    99997kk
    $3.00

    Bought 6.666667 SE Palmeiras for Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) at 0.45

  • 09:14 PM
    WEwenzai168
    $1,119.99

    Bought 1999.99 LDU de Quito for Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) at 0.56

  • 09:14 PM
    MIMikiMuster
    $2.80

    Bought 5 LDU de Quito for Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) at 0.56

  • 09:14 PM
    DEdentleightadman
    $1.00

    Bought 1.785715 LDU de Quito for Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) at 0.56

  • 09:13 PM
    16168888888168
    $3.23

    Bought 5.77 LDU de Quito for Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) at 0.56

  • 09:13 PM
    0X0xaB43Dc7C16366568056239594Ae87889509DD5aa-1782398270091
    $20.38

    Bought 34.542373 Over for SE Palmeiras vs. LDU de Quito: SE Palmeiras O/U 1.5 at 0.59

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KE1
kekasaur
Event PnL
+$491.72
Volume
$53,177.31
Positions
SE PalmeirasOver
UP2
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$12.09
Volume
$14,908.20
Positions
LDU de QuitoUnderUnder+10
KK3
kkpay19888
Event PnL
-$135.00
Volume
$9,000.00
Positions
LDU de Quito
WE4
wenzai168
Event PnL
-$99.99
Volume
$7,999.98
Positions
LDU de Quito
VE5
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$24.70
Volume
$5,551.61
Positions
LDU de QuitoUnderUnder+3
FL6
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$28.46
Volume
$4,248.85
Positions
LDU de QuitoOverNo+13
447
0x443B…0439
Event PnL
-$20.00
Volume
$3,999.98
Positions
LDU de Quito
FF8
ff3364
Event PnL
+$0.00
Volume
$3,999.98
Positions
LDU de Quito

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "SE Palmeiras vs. LDU de Quito - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 35.5% win probability, followed by Both Teams to Score in First Half at 12%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $116.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 35.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 35.6% — an Expected Value gap of +0.1%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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