Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Racing Club - More Markets

$71.3K Vol
Sep 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 58.5%
Under 41.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Racing Club - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 60.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $71.3K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (60.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 61¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $4.0K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score60.5%$4.0K61¢40¢

Result Rules

More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for September 5 at 12:30 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score currently trades at 60.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 57.7%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -2.8%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score60.5%57.7%-2.8%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 5, 2026

  • 07:33 AM
    0X0xbB92218DA6731E779BBcab72b0fE1d76cf2c68A4-1781467878286
    $2.77

    Bought 46.166665 Under for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 0.5 at 0.06

  • 07:21 AM
    0X0x4E8C90b145302ECDea2731FcEB588F8a4E0A79bD-1773259981312
    $80.00

    Bought 119.402984 Under for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5 at 0.67

  • 07:00 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $7.94

    Bought 72.21 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid for Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5) at 0.11

  • 06:37 AM
    0X0x4E8C90b145302ECDea2731FcEB588F8a4E0A79bD-1773259981312
    $80.00

    Bought 119.402984 Under for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 3.5 at 0.67

  • 06:24 AM
    GOGoalLineGhost
    $7.90

    Bought 10 Over for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 1.5 at 0.79

  • 05:55 AM
    COComingBack
    $1,000.00

    Bought 2272.727271 Under for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5 at 0.44

  • 05:51 AM
    SAsarkozin73
    $5.00

    Bought 8.33 Yes for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Racing Club: Both Teams to Score at 0.6

  • 05:51 AM
    SAsarkozin73
    $5.00

    Bought 8.77 Over for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5 at 0.57

  • 05:36 AM
    2424574563456687087976573442357678607032
    $1.00

    Bought 2.272726 Under for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5 at 0.44

  • 05:20 AM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $2.55

    Bought 5 Under for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Racing Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 1.5 at 0.51

  • 05:19 AM
    ANAntiVaxxer
    $3.90

    Bought 5 Under for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Racing Club: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid O/U 2.5 at 0.78

  • 05:16 AM
    OGogkarmism
    $35.24

    Bought 61.82456 Over for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5 at 0.57

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
-$2,861.73
Volume
$11,656.13
Positions
OverUnderOver+16
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$3,120.02
Volume
$7,764.11
Positions
OverOver
223
0x228B…4872
Event PnL
+$1,703.69
Volume
$7,321.67
Positions
OverOverUnder+12
KA4
kate20260824
Event PnL
+$2.63
Volume
$5,228.27
Positions
Over
HE5
0xheavy888
Event PnL
-$2,097.13
Volume
$4,507.04
Positions
UnderUnderReal Racing Club
CO6
CoffeeDespiser
Event PnL
-$1,268.35
Volume
$3,097.31
Positions
Under
XA7
Xander-XX
Event PnL
+$1.51
Volume
$3,010.64
Positions
OverYes
AN8
AnonymousUsername
Event PnL
-$1,247.68
Volume
$2,990.95
Positions
UnderNo

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Racing Club - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 60.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $71.3K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 60.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 57.7%, a negative EV Gap of -2.8% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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