CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF - More Markets

$323.2K Vol
Aug 31, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 57.5%
Under 42.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 39.5% chance of winning. Both Teams to Score in Second Half follows in second place at 17.5%, while Both Teams to Score in First Half sits in third with 12%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $323.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (39.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 40¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $46.8K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams to Score in Second Half (17.5%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams to Score in Second Half maintains a 17.5% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 18¢.
  • Both Teams to Score in First Half (12%): Sitting in third place with a 12% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Both Teams to Score in First Half, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score39.5%$46.8K40¢61¢
2Both Teams to Score in Second Half17.5%$15618¢83¢
3Both Teams to Score in First Half12.0%$3.2K12¢88¢

Result Rules

More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for August 31 at 1:30 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Both Teams to Score in First Half currently trades at 12%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 11%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -1%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score in Second Half as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 17.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 44.4% — yielding an impressive +26.9% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score39.5%43.1%+3.6%
Both Teams to Score in Second HalfBest EV17.5%44.4%+26.9%
Both Teams to Score in First Half12.0%11.0%-1.0%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Aug 31, 2026

  • 06:28 AM
    $10.23

    Bought 31 Over for CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF: CA Osasuna O/U 1.5 at 0.33

  • 06:21 AM
    SUsuntori
    $4.76

    Bought 6.8 Under for CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5 at 0.7

  • 06:18 AM
    SNSnakeBall
    $4.75

    Bought 5 Under for CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF: Getafe CF 1st Half O/U 1.5 at 0.95

  • 06:18 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.90

    Bought 13.571427 Over for CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5 at 0.14

  • 06:17 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.90

    Bought 13.571427 Over for CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF: O/U 3.5 at 0.14

  • 06:12 AM
    PApapillon1
    $800.00

    Bought 1428.571427 Over for CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF: Getafe CF O/U 0.5 at 0.56

  • 05:58 AM
    SNSnakeBall
    $30.72

    Bought 32 Under for CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF: Getafe CF O/U 2.5 at 0.96

  • 05:54 AM
    NANahid29
    $8.76

    Bought 21.9 Yes for CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Score at 0.4

  • 05:44 AM
    PApaulo31
    $59.30

    Sold 69.76 Over for CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF: O/U 0.5 at 0.85

  • 05:43 AM
    $14.59

    Bought 25.155171 Over for CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5 at 0.58

  • 05:42 AM
    $15.39

    Bought 49.64516 Over for CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5 at 0.31

  • 05:39 AM
    $11.90

    Bought 21.25 Over for CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF: Getafe CF O/U 0.5 at 0.56

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

E51
0xE5F0…0731
Event PnL
-$36.63
Volume
$58,538.53
Positions
OverOverOver+2
UP2
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$17.67
Volume
$22,690.70
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+12
GO3
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$26.16
Volume
$18,461.55
Positions
UnderUnderOver+6
FL4
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$40.06
Volume
$16,633.97
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+13
365
0x361b…74fe
Event PnL
-$110.97
Volume
$14,261.93
Positions
Getafe CFGetafe CFGetafe CF
BL6
bluemario
Event PnL
-$55.61
Volume
$11,123.92
Positions
Under
SA7
sampani24
Event PnL
-$42.04
Volume
$10,854.84
Positions
OverOverOver+1
VE8
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$3.94
Volume
$10,765.01
Positions
UnderNoUnder+1

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 39.5% win probability, followed by Both Teams to Score in Second Half at 17.5% and Both Teams to Score in First Half at 12%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $323.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score in Second Half as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 17.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 44.4% — an Expected Value gap of +26.9%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Both Teams to Score in First Half. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 12%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 11%, a negative EV Gap of -1% that signals the contract is overpriced.

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