CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona - More Markets

$99K Vol
Sep 12, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Under 73.0%
Over 27.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 50.5% chance of winning. Both Teams to Score in First Half follows in second place at 0.3%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $99K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (50.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 51¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $10.3K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Both Teams to Score in First Half (0.3%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Both Teams to Score in First Half maintains a 0.3% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 0¢.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score50.5%$10.3K51¢50¢
2Both Teams to Score in First Half0.3%$6100¢

Result Rules

More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for September 12 at 10:15 AM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score in First Half as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 0.3% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 17% — yielding an impressive +16.8% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to Score50.5%51.0%+0.5%
Both Teams to Score in First HalfBest EV0.3%17.0%+16.8%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 12, 2026

  • 09:21 AM
    SEsemen4ik
    $11.20

    Bought 32 Under for CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.35

  • 09:14 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $9.52

    Bought 22.139535 Over for CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5 at 0.43

  • 08:57 AM
    VAVane
    $20.00

    Bought 21.978022 Under for CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5 at 0.91

  • 08:57 AM
    NInigiri99
    $1.84

    Bought 2 Under for CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona O/U 2.5 at 0.92

  • 08:41 AM
    MOMorgan.
    $25.20

    Sold 280 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona for Spread: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (-1.5) at 0.09

  • 08:09 AM
    16168888888168
    $2.77

    Bought 5.431373 Yes for CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score at 0.51

  • 08:09 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $725.46

    Bought 1450.92 Yes for CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score at 0.5

  • 08:05 AM
    CEcelsius60622
    $80.00

    Bought 160 Yes for CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score at 0.5

  • 08:05 AM
    0X0x92F59e08060C00C9b2Dde0098D272f66C34C52A2-1786873013481
    $9.99

    Bought 19.98 Yes for CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score at 0.5

  • 08:05 AM
    FLFlaznorp
    $199.62

    Bought 399.24 Yes for CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score at 0.5

  • 08:04 AM
    MAMarki7890
    $3.00

    Bought 6 Yes for CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score at 0.5

  • 07:15 AM
    UPUpTheBlues
    $6.08

    Bought 12.16 Yes for CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: Both Teams to Score at 0.5

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

FL1
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$183.82
Volume
$5,976.02
Positions
YesOverOver+10
UP2
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$16.28
Volume
$3,364.27
Positions
OverCA OsasunaYes+2
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
-$6.65
Volume
$2,651.49
Positions
UnderNoUnder+1
HI4
hi774c
Event PnL
+$35.21
Volume
$2,355.09
Positions
UnderCA Osasuna
FC5
FccXHL
Event PnL
-$7.54
Volume
$1,507.00
Positions
No
KN6
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
+$15.00
Volume
$1,000.00
Positions
Under
NI7
nigiri99
Event PnL
-$259.65
Volume
$910.00
Positions
UnderYesOver+1
AK8
akirra
Event PnL
-$1.69
Volume
$711.63
Positions
OverRCD Espanyol de Barcelona

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "CA Osasuna vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 50.5% win probability, followed by Both Teams to Score in First Half at 0.3%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $99K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score in First Half as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 0.3% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 17% — an Expected Value gap of +16.8%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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