Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna - More Markets

$72.5K Vol
Sep 16, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 54.5%
Under 45.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 47.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $72.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (47.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 48¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $3.7K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score47.5%$3.7K48¢53¢

Result Rules

More markets for the La Liga game, scheduled for September 16 at 1:00 PM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 47.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 55.7% — yielding an impressive +8.2% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV47.5%55.7%+8.2%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 16, 2026

  • 08:59 AM
    $5.00

    Bought 6.849314 Over for Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.73

  • 08:46 AM
    NAnazmulalibiswas
    $1.00

    Bought 1.851852 No for Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score at 0.54

  • 08:41 AM
    SUsuntori
    $4.76

    Bought 10.347827 Club Atlético de Madrid for Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) at 0.46

  • 08:41 AM
    0X0xe7Fe243CeDf4C0Ae5A8d208C8508103c581e261E-1770540281244
    $2.28

    Sold 7.34 Over for Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5 at 0.31

  • 08:40 AM
    INinining
    $2.75

    Bought 5 CA Osasuna for Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) at 0.55

  • 08:39 AM
    0X0xe7Fe243CeDf4C0Ae5A8d208C8508103c581e261E-1770540281244
    $2.35

    Bought 7.34375 Over for Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5 at 0.32

  • 08:38 AM
    MImisir78
    $1.48

    Bought 2.690908 Over for Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5 at 0.55

  • 08:35 AM
    GNgnosh27
    $4.91

    Bought 8.92 CA Osasuna for Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) at 0.55

  • 08:35 AM
    E4e46m3
    $558.29

    Bought 1744.65 Over for Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5 at 0.32

  • 08:35 AM
    KOkoxma
    $27.19

    Bought 84.96 Over for Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5 at 0.32

  • 08:35 AM
    VDVD721lsj4938Dk388
    $3.52

    Bought 6.4 CA Osasuna for Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) at 0.55

  • 08:33 AM
    MOmooseborzoi
    $23.89

    Bought 99.54 Club Atlético de Madrid for Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5) at 0.24

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

NO1
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$70.58
Volume
$15,795.23
Positions
OverOverOver+3
FE2
ferrariChampions2026
Event PnL
+$76.36
Volume
$15,271.28
Positions
Under
0F3
0F62
Event PnL
+$52.81
Volume
$12,083.50
Positions
OverClub Atlético de Madrid
SN4
SnakeBall
Event PnL
-$16.55
Volume
$6,533.55
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+1
GO5
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$8.58
Volume
$6,018.67
Positions
CA OsasunaUnderClub Atlético de Madrid+3
RO6
rocever
Event PnL
-$69.51
Volume
$5,366.56
Positions
OverCA Osasuna
MO7
mooseborzoi
Event PnL
+$6.82
Volume
$5,004.87
Positions
Club Atlético de MadridYesNo+1
TN8
tnl
Event PnL
-$125.00
Volume
$4,999.93
Positions
CA Osasuna

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Club Atlético de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 47.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $72.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 47.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 55.7% — an Expected Value gap of +8.2%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

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