Jynxzi, Ron, and Los # of Minecraft deaths during marathon?

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Dec 1, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
210-239 49.5%
60-89 28.5%
240-269 25.5%
270-299 25.5%
300+ 15.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Jynxzi, Ron, and Los # of Minecraft deaths during marathon?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, 210-239 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 1,900% chance of winning. 60-89 follows in second place at 1,850%, while 90-119 sits in third with 1,800%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached —, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • 210-239 (1,900%): Currently commanding the highest probability, 210-239 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 1,900¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • 60-89 (1,850%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, 60-89 maintains a 1,850% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 1,850¢.
  • 90-119 (1,800%): Sitting in third place with a 1,800% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward 90-119, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

🥉 Tier 3: The Long-Tail Options (Combining for ~0%)

Beyond the top three choices, a wide field of macro variables and long-shot outcomes are being tracked. While their individual probabilities hover low, they represent crucial hedges for speculative traders:

  • Alternative Options: This includes 30-59 (1,550%), 240-269 (1,350%), and 270-299 (1,350%).
  • Speculative Volume: Despite low statistical likelihood, certain long-tail contracts like 120-149 are still attracting notable interest.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1210-2391900.0%—1900¢-1800¢
260-891850.0%—1850¢-1750¢
390-1191800.0%—1800¢-1700¢
430-591550.0%$1001550¢-1450¢
5240-2691350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
6270-2991350.0%—1350¢-1250¢
7120-1491000.0%—1000¢-900¢
8300+1000.0%—1000¢-900¢
9150-179700.0%—700¢-600¢
10180-209700.0%—700¢-600¢
11<30650.0%—650¢-550¢

Result Rules

Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos are scheduled to begin streaming a hardcore Minecraft marathon on October 5, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to defeat the Ender Dragon in a hardcore Minecraft world.

This market will resolve according to the number of combined Minecraft deaths across all three players during the entire marathon.

The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Jynxzi’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos complete or end the marathon. If Jynxzi’s counter is not available at that time, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on StableRonaldo’s official broadcast on Twitch, and if that counter is also not available, on Los Pollos’s official broadcast on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.

If none of these counters are available at the specified time, or if a counter becomes clearly erroneous or clearly does not represent the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft deaths during the entire marathon, this market will resolve according to the most recent value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counters, according to the aforementioned hierarchy, that accurately represents the cumulative number of in-game Minecraft deaths during the marathon.

This market will remain open until the marathon is declared complete, abandoned, or otherwise finally ended by Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, or Los Pollos, regardless of whether the challenge is completed.

If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on the counters at that time, according to the aforementioned hierarchy.

The resolution source for this market will be the in-game death counters displayed on Jynxzi’s, StableRonaldo’s, and Los Pollos’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Jynxzi, Ron, and Los # of Minecraft deaths during marathon?"?

As of the latest update, 210-239 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 1,900% win probability, followed by 60-89 at 1,850% and 90-119 at 1,800%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached —, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

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