Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?
Core Summary
According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?”, traders have formed a strong consensus.
Currently, December 31, 2026 is dominating the market with an overwhelming 13% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $149.6K, reflecting intense industry interest.
Breakdown of Competitive Tiers
To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:
🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader
- December 31, 2026 (13%): Currently commanding the highest probability, December 31, 2026 is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 13¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $43.8K in volume.
Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard
The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:
| Rank | Predicted Outcome | Win Probability | Trading Volume | Buy Yes (Cost) | Buy No (Cost) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | December 31, 2026 | 13.0% | $43.8K | 13¢ | 87¢ |
Result Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeanine Pirro ceases to be the United States Attorney for the District of Columbia for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement of Jeanine Pirro's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.
If Jeanine Pirro is detained, effectively removed from the position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of United States Attorney for the District of Columbia within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Jeanine Pirro and the U.S. Department of Justice; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps
While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.
Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.
Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities
Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:
- The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies December 31, 2026 as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 13% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 21.9% — yielding an impressive +8.9% EV Gap.
| Market | Trade Value | Fair Value | EV Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026Best EV | 13.0% | 21.9% | +8.9% |
Trade Activities
Here is the trade activities for this event.
Oct 28, 2026
- 07:08 AMLOlongdated-poli$7.28
Sold 72.8 Yes for Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? at 0.1
- 07:07 AMJSJsonStatham$11.63
Sold 105.76 Yes for Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? at 0.11
- 07:07 AMWAWarriorH$44.50
Bought 50 No for Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? at 0.89
- 07:07 AMPYpykue$349.36
Bought 397 No for Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? at 0.88
- 06:09 AM0X0xd1Ae9c72a149298875D82caf899f38c5a4EFFA7c-1769655322779$2.59
Sold 21.62 Yes for Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? at 0.12
- 05:17 AMHAHaradwaith$5.34
Sold 44.5 Yes for Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? at 0.12
Oct 27, 2026
- 07:17 PMPOpolesk8888$1.70
Sold 2 No for Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? at 0.85
- 07:07 PMRARazuchiDISNEY$34.00
Sold 40 No for Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? at 0.85
- 07:07 PMTHthe-260-Challenge$17.01
Sold 20.01 No for Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? at 0.85
- 07:07 PMRARazuchiONE$34.00
Sold 40 No for Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? at 0.85
- 07:07 PMPOPol7StrategyBuilder$17.00
Sold 20 No for Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? at 0.85
- 07:02 PMPOpolesk8888$15.84
Sold 18 No for Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by December 31? at 0.88
Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current market consensus on "Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?"?
As of the latest update, December 31, 2026 leads the field as the frontrunner with a 13% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $149.6K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.
How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?
The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.
Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?
Our latest run flags December 31, 2026 as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 13% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 21.9% — an Expected Value gap of +8.9%, making it the premium value play in this pool.