Kyōto Sanga FC vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets

$144.2K Vol
Oct 10, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
Over 92.5%
Under 7.5%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Kyōto Sanga FC vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Both Teams to Score is dominating the market with an overwhelming 54.5% chance of winning. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $144.2K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Both Teams to Score (54.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Both Teams to Score is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 55¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $16.8K in volume.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Both Teams to Score54.5%$16.8K55¢45¢

Result Rules

More markets for the Japan J. League game, scheduled for October 10 at 6:00 AM ET.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Both Teams to Score as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 54.5% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 60.9% — yielding an impressive +6.4% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Both Teams to ScoreBest EV54.5%60.9%+6.4%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Oct 10, 2026

  • 09:49 AM
    ZHzhangyifei
    $9.75

    Bought 19.89796 Over for Kyōto Sanga FC vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5 at 0.49

  • 09:49 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $1.90

    Bought 7.037038 Over for Kyōto Sanga FC vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 3.5 at 0.27

  • 09:48 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $4.76

    Bought 9.714286 Over for Kyōto Sanga FC vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5 at 0.49

  • 09:48 AM
    LOlolopuyc
    $100.00

    Bought 312.5 Under for Kyōto Sanga FC vs. FC Machida Zelvia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.32

  • 09:48 AM
    ARarcowin
    $1.00

    Bought 1.333332 Over for Kyōto Sanga FC vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 1.5 at 0.75

  • 09:46 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $4.76

    Bought 8.814815 Yes for Kyōto Sanga FC vs. FC Machida Zelvia: Both Teams to Score at 0.54

  • 09:45 AM
    ——
    $1.60

    Bought 4.848485 Under for Kyōto Sanga FC vs. FC Machida Zelvia: 1st Half O/U 0.5 at 0.33

  • 09:44 AM
    FRfrankvic
    $50.15

    Bought 51.177043 FC Machida Zelvia for Spread: Kyōto Sanga FC (-2.5) at 0.98

  • 09:44 AM
    NSnscoin
    $2.12

    Bought 4.076922 Under for Kyōto Sanga FC vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5 at 0.52

  • 09:43 AM
    ZXzxp16888
    $11.00

    Bought 22.44898 Over for Kyōto Sanga FC vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5 at 0.49

  • 09:42 AM
    NSnscoin
    $1.33

    Bought 2.714286 Over for Kyōto Sanga FC vs. FC Machida Zelvia: O/U 2.5 at 0.49

  • 09:41 AM
    0X0xb5527654d309c6617addabbb64e47931cf35b70c-1783406016141
    $9.52

    Bought 39.666667 FC Machida Zelvia for Spread: FC Machida Zelvia (-1.5) at 0.24

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

KE1
Kelvin789
Event PnL
+$7,558.25
Volume
$21,826.00
Positions
Under
FL2
Flaznorp
Event PnL
+$1,196.29
Volume
$19,111.32
Positions
Kyōto Sanga FCNoKyōto Sanga FC+14
RN3
RN1
Event PnL
-$646.33
Volume
$18,729.52
Positions
OverOverNo+6
BL4
bluemario
Event PnL
+$187.15
Volume
$12,473.78
Positions
Under
GO5
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
-$276.97
Volume
$11,409.94
Positions
UnderFC Machida ZelviaKyōto Sanga FC+9
NO6
NO.9kami
Event PnL
-$2,598.18
Volume
$10,007.57
Positions
Yes
NO7
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
-$1,670.86
Volume
$7,458.94
Positions
OverFC Machida ZelviaUnder+10
UP8
UpTheBlues
Event PnL
+$237.30
Volume
$6,081.03
Positions
UnderUnderUnder+20

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Kyōto Sanga FC vs. FC Machida Zelvia - More Markets"?

As of the latest update, Both Teams to Score leads the field as the frontrunner with a 54.5% win probability. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $144.2K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Both Teams to Score as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 54.5% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 60.9% — an Expected Value gap of +6.4%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Get Started