Fujieda MYFC vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC

$35.5K Vol
Sep 5, 2026
Active
Probability Trend
No 61.0%
Yes 39.0%

Core Summary

According to the latest prediction market data for the query “Fujieda MYFC vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC”, traders have formed a strong consensus.

Currently, Fujieda MYFC is dominating the market with an overwhelming 46.5% chance of winning. Draw (Fujieda MYFC vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC) follows in second place at 30%, while Vanraure Hachinohe FC sits in third with 22%. The betting volume for this specific market has already reached $35.5K, reflecting intense industry interest.

Breakdown of Competitive Tiers

To better assess where each potential outcome stands, the market can be segmented into three distinct trading tiers based on implied probability and contract pricing:

🥇 Tier 1: The Dominant Leader

  • Fujieda MYFC (46.5%): Currently commanding the highest probability, Fujieda MYFC is heavily favored by the order book. Traders looking to back this outcome face a “Buy Yes” contract price of 47¢, signaling a high degree of market conviction. This contract alone has generated $35.6K in volume.

🥈 Tier 2: The Primary Challengers

  • Draw (Fujieda MYFC vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC) (30%): Positioned as the most viable alternative, Draw (Fujieda MYFC vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC) maintains a 30% chance of resolving true. Its “Buy Yes” shares currently trade at 30¢.
  • Vanraure Hachinohe FC (22%): Sitting in third place with a 22% probability, the market shows measured skepticism toward Vanraure Hachinohe FC, treating it as an outside wildcard unless momentum shifts.

Comprehensive Order Book & Pricing Dashboard

The table below outlines the full breakdown of contract prices, probabilities, and market depth for all listed outcomes in this prediction pool:

RankPredicted OutcomeWin ProbabilityTrading VolumeBuy Yes (Cost)Buy No (Cost)
1Fujieda MYFC46.5%$35.6K47¢54¢
2Draw (Fujieda MYFC vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC)30.0%$61830¢70¢
3Vanraure Hachinohe FC22.0%$76622¢78¢

Result Rules

This event is for the upcoming J2 League game, scheduled for Saturday, September 5, 2026 between Fujieda MYFC and Vanraure Hachinohe FC.

AI Valuation Analysis: Finding Market Mispricings & EV Gaps

While human consensus and speculative volume shape the broader prediction market, our quantitative algorithms offer a data-driven counter-perspective. By analyzing fundamental signals, underlying trends and historical distributions, our AI Valuation model calculates an independent “Fair Value” probability for each outcome.

Comparing this Fair Value against the current Trade Value uncovers major disparities — known as the Expected Value (EV) Gap. Contracts with a positive EV Gap represent statistically underpriced outcomes, whereas a negative EV Gap flags a potential market overreaction.

Top AI Alpha & Mispriced Arbitrage Opportunities

Based on the latest data model run, several key contracts stand out with significant deviations:

  • The Most Overvalued Outcome Fujieda MYFC currently trades at 46.5%, but our AI places its Fair Value at just 45.7%. This creates a large negative EV Gap of -0.8%, suggesting the crowd may be overhyping this outcome and driving the premium too high.
  • The Best Value Play (Highest EV) Our model identifies Vanraure Hachinohe FC as the premium value opportunity on the board. While the market only assigns it a 22% trading probability, our AI’s Fair Value assessment sits at 28.1% — yielding an impressive +6.1% EV Gap.
MarketTrade ValueFair ValueEV Gap
Fujieda MYFC46.5%45.7%-0.8%
Draw (Fujieda MYFC vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC)30.0%29.7%-0.3%
Vanraure Hachinohe FCBest EV22.0%28.1%+6.1%

Trade Activities

Here is the trade activities for this event.

Sep 5, 2026

  • 08:02 AM
    SIsisyphex
    $19.99

    Bought 26.3 No for Will Vanraure Hachinohe FC win on 2026-09-05? at 0.76

  • 07:51 AM
    FAfamedray
    $8.00

    Bought 14.545453 No for Will Fujieda MYFC win on 2026-09-05? at 0.55

  • 07:47 AM
    GOGoalLineGhost
    $12.00

    Bought 16 No for Will Vanraure Hachinohe FC win on 2026-09-05? at 0.75

  • 07:46 AM
    SUsuntori
    $2,868.74

    Bought 6103.706169 Yes for Will Fujieda MYFC win on 2026-09-05? at 0.47

  • 07:45 AM
    $15.00

    Bought 27.272726 No for Will Fujieda MYFC win on 2026-09-05? at 0.55

  • 07:45 AM
    $112.00

    Bought 203.636362 No for Will Fujieda MYFC win on 2026-09-05? at 0.55

  • 07:45 AM
    BObotza123
    $5.45

    Bought 9.9 No for Will Fujieda MYFC win on 2026-09-05? at 0.55

  • 07:45 AM
    KHkhonikdev
    $5.40

    Bought 10 No for Will Fujieda MYFC win on 2026-09-05? at 0.54

  • 07:44 AM
    LIliukaituo
    $5.00

    Bought 10.638296 Yes for Will Fujieda MYFC win on 2026-09-05? at 0.47

  • 07:44 AM
    1L1l2ihj34li12u34
    $2,401.77

    Bought 5221.24 Yes for Will Fujieda MYFC win on 2026-09-05? at 0.46

  • 07:39 AM
    $5.00

    Bought 10.869564 Yes for Will Fujieda MYFC win on 2026-09-05? at 0.46

  • 07:32 AM
    0X0x6e645b730cc75b6C2f0DB73f12Aa0d16f6A2c072-1766177659045
    $2.95

    Bought 5.36 No for Will Fujieda MYFC win on 2026-09-05? at 0.55

Whales Wallets That Are Betting on This Event

1L1
1l2ihj34li12u34
Event PnL
-$18.94
Volume
$6,649.26
Positions
Yes
SU2
suntori
Event PnL
+$164.73
Volume
$6,103.71
Positions
Yes
VE3
VeryLucky888
Event PnL
+$16.98
Volume
$3,069.35
Positions
NoNo
NO4
no1dodgersfan
Event PnL
+$23.58
Volume
$2,879.00
Positions
No
GO5
GoalLineGhost
Event PnL
+$22.49
Volume
$2,722.79
Positions
NoNo
9F6
0x9f15…bdb3
Event PnL
+$20.94
Volume
$1,396.03
Positions
No
KN7
KnightDasCapital
Event PnL
-$0.84
Volume
$1,083.72
Positions
No
EM8
emacron
Event PnL
+$5.00
Volume
$1,000.00
Positions
No

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current market consensus on "Fujieda MYFC vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC"?

As of the latest update, Fujieda MYFC leads the field as the frontrunner with a 46.5% win probability, followed by Draw (Fujieda MYFC vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC) at 30% and Vanraure Hachinohe FC at 22%. Total trading volume for this pool has reached $35.5K, indicating deep liquidity and high trader engagement.

How does the AI Fair Value differ from the live Market Trade Value?

The live Market Trade Value reflects public sentiment, order-book momentum and speculative capital. Our AI Fair Value is computed independently with quantitative models that strip out hype to focus on underlying data. When the two diverge, it creates an EV Gap, flagging where the market may be mispricing an outcome.

Which outcome represents the highest Expected Value (EV) right now?

Our latest run flags Vanraure Hachinohe FC as the most significant mispricing. While the market trades it at a 22% implied probability, our AI calculates a Fair Value of 28.1% — an Expected Value gap of +6.1%, making it the premium value play in this pool.

Is the market consensus overreacting to any specific outcome?

Yes — our data suggests a notable overreaction around Fujieda MYFC. The crowd has pushed its live Trade Value up to 46.5%, yet our Fair Value assessment puts its real likelihood at just 45.7%, a negative EV Gap of -0.8% that signals the contract is overpriced.

Get Started