Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?

「Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by...?」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、December 31 が 680% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。October 31 が 350% で2番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $117.8K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます：

🥇 ティア1：圧倒的なリーダー

• December 31 (680%)：最も高い確率を持つ December 31 は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 680¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $774 の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2：主要な対抗馬

• October 31 (350%)：最も有力な対抗馬として、October 31 は 350% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 350¢ で取引されています。

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.

Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.

In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".

If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.