Will Messi get a guard of honour?

「Will Messi get a guard of honour?」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Yes が 7,100% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。No が 2,900% で2番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに — に達し、高い関心を示しています。

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます：

🥇 ティア1：圧倒的なリーダー

• Yes (7,100%)：最も高い確率を持つ Yes は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 7,100¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。

🥈 ティア2：主要な対抗馬

• No (2,900%)：最も有力な対抗馬として、No は 2,900% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 2,900¢ で取引されています。

Lionel Messi is scheduled to play his final match for the Argentina men's national team against Benin at the Estadio Monumental in Buenos Aires on October 6, 2026, at 7:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi receives a guard of honour on the playing surface at any point from the start of the pre-match ceremonies through the end of the post-match ceremonies at this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A guard of honour (also known as a pasillo) means two facing lines of people formed on the playing surface through which Messi walks or runs while being applauded. The lines may be formed by Argentina players, Benin players, coaching staff, former players, match officials, ball kids or any combination of them. The playing surface means the pitch and its surrounding area inside the perimeter advertising boards, including the technical areas. A single line, a huddle, players surrounding Messi, or applause without a corridor formation does not count.

If the match is cancelled or postponed beyond October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the match is postponed to a date on or before October 20, 2026, this market will resolve based on the rescheduled match.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official match footage and broadcast video; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.