Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

2026年11月3日
Active
確率トレンド
No 71.5%
Yes 28.5%

コアサマリー

「Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、No が 7,100% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Yes が 2,900% で2番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに — に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • No (7,100%):最も高い確率を持つ No は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 7,100¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Yes (2,900%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Yes は 2,900% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 2,900¢ で取引されています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1No7100.0%7100¢-7000¢
2Yes2900.0%2900¢-2800¢

判定ルール

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party's hourly odds value is higher than the Democratic Party's hourly odds value in the "Senate Control 2026" listing on PredictionMarketOdds.com for 4 consecutive hourly odds values, all published for a datapoint between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An hourly odds value is the value in the "Odds of Happening" column that PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes for an option for a one-hour "Time Window (ET)", as shown on the listing page and in the "Odds History" graph. Hourly odds values are compared at the precision published by PredictionMarketOdds.com (one tenth of a percent). An hour in which the two values are equal does not count as the Republican Party being higher and ends any run of consecutive hourly odds values.

Hours for which PredictionMarketOdds.com publishes no hourly odds value for either option (shown as "NO_PRINT") will be disregarded and will neither count toward nor end a run of consecutive hourly odds values. If PredictionMarketOdds.com permanently ceases publishing hourly odds values for the Republican Party or the Democratic Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing before November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, including by removing either option from the listing, this market will resolve based on the hourly odds values published up to that point.

If no hourly odds values have been published for both the Republican Party and the Democratic Party between market creation and November 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

If the underlying market is officially decided before the listed date and time, this market will resolve to "Yes" if the Republican Party is the outcome of the underlying market and otherwise to "No".

If a published hourly odds value is clearly erroneous as a result of a technical or operational error, this market may remain open for up to an additional 48 hours after that value is first published to allow for a correction. A corrected value will be used in place of the original. If no correction is published within that period, the original value will stand, and revisions published after that period will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market is PredictionMarketOdds.com, specifically the hourly odds values for the Republican Party and the Democratic Party in the "Senate Control 2026" listing at https://predictionmarketodds.com/senate-control-2026.html and on each option's detail page, reached by clicking the option's name in the listing. Prices shown on any individual prediction market will not be considered.

よくある質問

「Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、No が 7,100% の勝率で首位、続いて Yes(2,900%)。このプールの総取引高は — に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

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