OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?

「OpenAI’s valuation end of September 2026?」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、$900B-$1.00T が 5,900% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。$800-$900B が 2,900% で2番手、$1.00-$1.10T が 465% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $21.3K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます：

🥇 ティア1：圧倒的なリーダー

• $900B-$1.00T (5,900%)：最も高い確率を持つ $900B-$1.00T は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 5,900¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $3.4K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2：主要な対抗馬

• $800-$900B (2,900%)：最も有力な対抗馬として、$800-$900B は 2,900% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 2,900¢ で取引されています。
• $1.00-$1.10T (465%)：465% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は $1.00-$1.10T に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3：ロングテール選択肢（合計約 0%）

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります：

• 代替選択肢：$1.20-$1.30T (420%)、$1.30T+ (85%)、$1.10-$1.20T (65%) などが含まれます。
• 投機的出来高：統計的な可能性は低いものの、$700-$800B のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

This market will resolve according to OpenAI's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for the last trading day of the specified month.

If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

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