LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs

$101.7K Vol
2026年10月7日
Active
確率トレンド
TLN Pirates 86.5%
Bushido Wildcats 13.5%

コアサマリー

「LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Match Winner が 8,350% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Game 3 Winner が 7,300% で2番手、Game 2 Winner が 7,250% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $101.7K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Match Winner (8,350%):最も高い確率を持つ Match Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 8,350¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $35.5K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Game 3 Winner (7,300%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Game 3 Winner は 7,300% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 7,300¢ で取引されています。
  • Game 2 Winner (7,250%):7,250% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 2 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Game Handicap: TLNP (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5) (6,850%)、Game 4 Winner (6,500%)、Game 1 Winner (6,150%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、O/U 3.5 Games のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Match Winner8350.0%$35.5K8350¢-8250¢
2Game 3 Winner7300.0%$5.0K7300¢-7200¢
3Game 2 Winner7250.0%$6.0K7250¢-7150¢
4Game Handicap: TLNP (-1.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+1.5)6850.0%$11.4K6850¢-6750¢
5Game 4 Winner6500.0%$1186500¢-6400¢
6Game 1 Winner6150.0%$17.0K6150¢-6050¢
7O/U 3.5 Games6150.0%$11.5K6150¢-6050¢
8Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
30Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
31Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
33Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
34Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
35Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
36Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
37Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
38First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
39First Blood in Game 2?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
40First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
41First Blood in Game 1?4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
42Game Handicap: TLNP (-2.5) vs Bushido Wildcats (+2.5)3900.0%$27.9K3900¢-3800¢
43O/U 4.5 Games2550.0%$6.4K2550¢-2450¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL Round of 16 match between TLN Pirates and Bushido Wildcats in the EMEA Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "TLN Pirates" if TLN Pirates win the match against Bushido Wildcats.

This market will resolve to "Bushido Wildcats" if Bushido Wildcats win the match against TLN Pirates.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Oct 6, 2026

  • 01:16 PM
    QFqfwdsd1
    $60.76

    Bought 98 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 4 Winner at 0.62

  • 01:11 PM
    INInkedman
    $6.65

    Bought 44.333334 Bushido Wildcats for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.15

  • 01:08 PM
    CLClawbotazleeruiz9
    $2.64

    Bought 4 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 4 Winner at 0.66

  • 01:05 PM
    TItinashi1199zz
    $1.93

    Bought 2.53947 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winner at 0.76

  • 12:53 PM
    MFmfernandes
    $12.21

    Bought 48.84 Bushido Wildcats for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 3 Winner at 0.25

  • 12:40 PM
    DIDidYKH
    $10.00

    Bought 13.157895 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats - Game 1 Winner at 0.76

  • 12:40 PM
    DIDidYKH
    $15.00

    Bought 17.647053 TLN Pirates for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.85

  • 12:39 PM
    SKskadii
    $24.15

    Bought 161 Bushido Wildcats for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.15

  • 12:39 PM
    SKskadii
    $27.37

    Bought 161 Bushido Wildcats for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.17

  • 12:39 PM
    SNsn-ow
    $1.00

    Bought 6.25 Bushido Wildcats for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.16

  • 12:39 PM
    SKskadii
    $25.76

    Bought 161 Bushido Wildcats for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.16

  • 12:39 PM
    SKskadii
    $2.20

    Bought 13.75 Bushido Wildcats for LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs at 0.16

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

691
0x6918…0027
イベント損益
+$95.60
出来高
$10,301.99
保有ポジション
TLN PiratesTLN PiratesUnder+1
GO2
Gooooooollllllllll
イベント損益
-$7.26
出来高
$4,898.13
保有ポジション
TLN PiratesTLN PiratesUnder
AM3
am100
イベント損益
-$63.24
出来高
$2,771.57
保有ポジション
UnderTLN Pirates
GO4
GOLDCRYPT12
イベント損益
+$25.32
出来高
$2,526.32
保有ポジション
OverBushido WildcatsBushido Wildcats
BR5
bravewarriorrrrrr
イベント損益
-$22.76
出来高
$2,517.55
保有ポジション
TLN PiratesUnder
OC6
ocss
イベント損益
-$37.50
出来高
$2,500.00
保有ポジション
TLN Pirates
PU7
purplegatto
イベント損益
-$84.60
出来高
$2,417.00
保有ポジション
Bushido Wildcats
LO8
loldot
イベント損益
-$67.51
出来高
$2,328.12
保有ポジション
Bushido WildcatsOverTLN Pirates+1

よくある質問

「LoL: TLN Pirates vs Bushido Wildcats (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Match Winner が 8,350% の勝率で首位、続いて Game 3 Winner(7,300%)、Game 2 Winner(7,250%)。このプールの総取引高は $101.7K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

無料で始める