LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

$1.2M Vol
2026年9月21日
Active
確率トレンド
Team Liquid 94.2%
FlyQuest 5.9%

コアサマリー

「LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Game 1 Winner が 9,995% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Game 2 Winner が 9,995% で2番手、First Blood in Game 1? が 9,950% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $1.2M に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%):最も高い確率を持つ Game 1 Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,995¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $386.5K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Game 2 Winner は 9,995% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 9,995¢ で取引されています。
  • First Blood in Game 1? (9,950%):9,950% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は First Blood in Game 1? に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1? (9,950%)、Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1? (9,950%)、Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2? (9,950%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Match Winner のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$386.5K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 2 Winner9995.0%$325.5K9995¢-9895¢
3First Blood in Game 1?9950.0%$2899950¢-9850¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$59950¢-9850¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?9950.0%$109950¢-9850¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2?9950.0%$109950¢-9850¢
7Match Winner9620.0%$419.7K9620¢-9520¢
8Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)8950.0%$66.5K8950¢-8850¢
9Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?7750.0%$57750¢-7650¢
10Game 3 Winner7250.0%$48.3K7250¢-7150¢
11Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs FlyQuest (+2.5)7250.0%$32.7K7250¢-7150¢
12Game 4 Winner5850.0%$1.1K5850¢-5750¢
13First Blood in Game 2?5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
30Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
32Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
33Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
34Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
35Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
36Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
37Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
38Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
39Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
40Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
41Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$205000¢-4900¢
42First Blood in Game 3?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
43First Blood in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
44Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?5000.0%$95000¢-4900¢
45Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
46Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?5000.0%$4.3K5000¢-4900¢
47Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
48Odd/Even Total Kills4200.0%$204200¢-4100¢
49Odd/Even Total Kills4200.0%$204200¢-4100¢
50O/U 3.5 Games2750.0%$10.9K2750¢-2650¢
51Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?2250.0%$52250¢-2150¢
52O/U 4.5 Games750.0%$3.5K750¢-650¢
53Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?50.0%$2.5K50¢50¢
54Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?50.0%$11350¢50¢
55Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?50.0%$550¢50¢
56Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?50.0%$550¢50¢
57Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?40.0%$5.5K40¢60¢
58Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5.0%$4.8K95¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Team Liquid and FlyQuest in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 20, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against FlyQuest.

This market will resolve to "FlyQuest" if FlyQuest win the match against Team Liquid.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 20, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Sep 20, 2026

  • 10:01 PM
    SQSQUISHYY
    $19.93

    Bought 47.441861 FlyQuest for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner at 0.42

  • 10:00 PM
    GMgmhenry
    $25.20

    Bought 40 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner at 0.63

  • 10:00 PM
    $1.10

    Sold 1.17 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.94

  • 10:00 PM
    FUFuture-Tarot-Trader
    $762.82

    Sold 802.97 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.95

  • 10:00 PM
    FUFuture-Tarot-Trader
    $32.00

    Bought 640 FlyQuest for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.05

  • 10:00 PM
    0X0x1e0D9Ff26E57007e9EA8bC69c145130aF34D6326-1781850896424
    $5.00

    Bought 11.904762 FlyQuest for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 4 Winner at 0.42

  • 09:59 PM
    0X0x248958C387F1090736ed35b0094650D9e9F6463b-1782252541946
    $0.20

    Bought 5 FlyQuest for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.04

  • 09:58 PM
    0X0x03202396163cE34208eB69BB1E07010f321c3757-1772184192988
    $421.05

    Sold 421.05 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner at 1

  • 09:58 PM
    JFJFestival
    $12.00

    Bought 41.379311 FlyQuest for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner at 0.29

  • 09:58 PM
    FLFlobzzBets
    $1.55

    Bought 2.152778 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner at 0.72

  • 09:58 PM
    SASanPancho
    $9.86

    Bought 13.694442 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner at 0.72

  • 09:58 PM
    PApauleta23
    $5.17

    Bought 7.180553 Team Liquid for LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner at 0.72

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

FO1
FORTNITEMASTER888
イベント損益
+$89.51
出来高
$31,711.99
保有ポジション
FlyQuest
TA2
TAIWANNUMBERONE
イベント損益
-$105.54
出来高
$28,546.47
保有ポジション
FlyQuestFlyQuestFlyQuest
RE3
retordedgremlin125
イベント損益
+$132.99
出来高
$26,591.25
保有ポジション
Team Liquid
FI4
five5120
イベント損益
+$99.02
出来高
$19,799.26
保有ポジション
Team Liquid
MY5
mythos1.8
イベント損益
-$50.00
出来高
$10,000.00
保有ポジション
FlyQuest
996
999999666544332578855667788
イベント損益
-$50.00
出来高
$9,999.99
保有ポジション
FlyQuest
GO7
Gooooooollllllllll
イベント損益
+$50.00
出来高
$9,999.99
保有ポジション
Team Liquid
SK8
skadii
イベント損益
-$26.34
出来高
$9,888.58
保有ポジション
UnderUnderFlyQuest+1

よくある質問

「LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Game 1 Winner が 9,995% の勝率で首位、続いて Game 2 Winner(9,995%)、First Blood in Game 1?(9,950%)。このプールの総取引高は $1.2M に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

無料で始める