LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs

$1.9M Vol
2026年9月19日
Active
確率トレンド
Sentinels 88.6%
Shopify Rebellion 11.3%

コアサマリー

「LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Game 3 Winner が 9,995% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。O/U 3.5 Games が 9,995% で2番手、Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? が 9,995% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $1.9M に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Game 3 Winner (9,995%):最も高い確率を持つ Game 3 Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,995¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $505.4K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • O/U 3.5 Games (9,995%):最も有力な対抗馬として、O/U 3.5 Games は 9,995% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 9,995¢ で取引されています。
  • Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? (9,995%):9,995% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2? に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2? (9,995%)、Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2? (9,995%)、Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4? (8,000%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Both Teams Slay a Dragon のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Game 3 Winner9995.0%$505.4K9995¢-9895¢
2O/U 3.5 Games9995.0%$7.4K9995¢-9895¢
3Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?9995.0%$1.1K9995¢-9895¢
4Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 2?9995.0%$359995¢-9895¢
5Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 2?9995.0%$309995¢-9895¢
6Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 4?8000.0%$1.1K8000¢-7900¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon5750.0%$105750¢-5650¢
8Game 4 Winner5250.0%$204.6K5250¢-5150¢
9O/U 4.5 Games5200.0%$3.4K5200¢-5100¢
10Game Handicap: SEN (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5)5100.0%$32.8K5100¢-5000¢
11Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%$55000¢-4900¢
24Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
26Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
27Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?5000.0%$105000¢-4900¢
28Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
29Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
30Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 4?5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
31First Blood in Game 4?4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
32First Blood in Game 2?4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
33First Blood in Game 3?4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
34Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor4300.0%$54300¢-4200¢
35Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4300.0%$54300¢-4200¢
36Match Winner2095.0%$245.6K2095¢-1995¢
37Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
38Both Teams Slay a Dragon150.0%$10150¢-50¢
39First Blood in Game 1?150.0%150¢-50¢
40Any Player Penta Kill50.0%50¢50¢
41Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%$550¢50¢
42Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.0%$1050¢50¢
43Odd/Even Total Kills50.0%$1050¢50¢
44Odd/Even Total Kills50.0%$1050¢50¢
45Game 1 Winner5.0%$281.7K95¢
46Game 2 Winner5.0%$623.6K95¢
47Game Handicap: SEN (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)5.0%$29.0K95¢
48Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5.0%$595¢
49Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5.0%$595¢
50Odd/Even Total Kills5.0%$1095¢
51Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5.0%$595¢
52Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?5.0%$1895¢
53Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?5.0%$42495¢
54Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?5.0%$2.9K95¢
55Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 3?5.0%$21595¢
56Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?5.0%$2595¢
57Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?5.0%$3095¢
58Total Kills Over/Under 21.5 in Game 1?5.0%$3095¢
59Total Kills Over/Under 18.5 in Game 1?5.0%$2095¢
60Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?5.0%$3095¢
61Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?5.0%$25295¢
62Total Kills Over/Under 39.5 in Game 2?5.0%$2595¢
63Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3?5.0%$3095¢
64Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 3?5.0%$3095¢
65Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 3?5.0%$3095¢
66Game Handicap: SR (-2.5) vs Sentinels (+2.5)5.0%95¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket round 1 match between Shopify Rebellion and Sentinels in the LCS Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Shopify Rebellion" if Shopify Rebellion win the match against Sentinels.

This market will resolve to "Sentinels" if Sentinels win the match against Shopify Rebellion.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Sep 18, 2026

  • 10:44 PM
    2121372137
    $55.30

    Bought 70 Sentinels for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.79

  • 10:43 PM
    ARarbadg
    $9.81

    Bought 12.263678 Sentinels for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.8

  • 10:43 PM
    SEsenbonzakura108
    $7.31

    Sold 36.56 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.2

  • 10:43 PM
    $0.52

    Sold 0.98 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner at 0.53

  • 10:43 PM
    $4.11

    Sold 8.06 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner at 0.51

  • 10:43 PM
    SHshilin6325
    $94.43

    Sold 192.71 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner at 0.49

  • 10:43 PM
    $3.26

    Sold 6.16 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner at 0.53

  • 10:43 PM
    $6.55

    Sold 12.35 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner at 0.53

  • 10:43 PM
    LAlastbobo
    $4.09

    Bought 5.04321 Sentinels for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.81

  • 10:43 PM
    0X0x8Da6810CD6C13514aD04e33384Fb95656CEEF9bC-1786341876263
    $1.09

    Bought 1.345678 Sentinels for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs at 0.81

  • 10:43 PM
    $0.32

    Sold 0.57 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner at 0.56

  • 10:43 PM
    $0.66

    Sold 1.18 Shopify Rebellion for LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner at 0.56

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

HI1
hitaobicho
イベント損益
-$3.35
出来高
$2,329.83
保有ポジション
Shopify RebellionShopify Rebellion
FL2
Flowerssss
イベント損益
-$39.76
出来高
$1,909.09
保有ポジション
Sentinels
ME3
merkmerk12333331
イベント損益
-$10.94
出来高
$1,900.21
保有ポジション
SentinelsSentinelsSentinels
MO4
MoneyFile
イベント損益
-$3.45
出来高
$1,423.12
保有ポジション
Shopify Rebellion
NA5
naive-child
イベント損益
+$0.36
出来高
$1,264.52
保有ポジション
SentinelsSentinelsSentinels
BI6
binkybarnes55
イベント損益
+$6.09
出来高
$1,218.88
保有ポジション
Shopify Rebellion
VI7
vibing123
イベント損益
+$5.10
出来高
$1,020.34
保有ポジション
Sentinels
AN8
antec
イベント損益
+$3.20
出来高
$905.54
保有ポジション
SentinelsShopify RebellionOver+2

よくある質問

「LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Game 3 Winner が 9,995% の勝率で首位、続いて O/U 3.5 Games(9,995%)、Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?(9,995%)。このプールの総取引高は $1.9M に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

無料で始める