LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs

$128K Vol
2026年9月17日
Active
確率トレンド
The Ruddy Sack 53.0%
Verdant 47.0%

コアサマリー

「LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Game 2 Winner が 9,995% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Game 3 Winner が 9,995% で2番手、Game 4 Winner が 9,995% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $128K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):最も高い確率を持つ Game 2 Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,995¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $22.7K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Game 3 Winner (9,995%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Game 3 Winner は 9,995% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 9,995¢ で取引されています。
  • Game 4 Winner (9,995%):9,995% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 4 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Match Winner (9,995%)、O/U 3.5 Games (9,955%)、Odd/Even Total Kills (9,950%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Both Teams Slay a Dragon のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Game 2 Winner9995.0%$22.7K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 3 Winner9995.0%$39.7K9995¢-9895¢
3Game 4 Winner9995.0%$49.6K9995¢-9895¢
4Match Winner9995.0%$36.2K9995¢-9895¢
5O/U 3.5 Games9955.0%$559955¢-9855¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
8Odd/Even Total Kills9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon9050.0%9050¢-8950¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
15Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor950.0%950¢-850¢
18Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%950¢-850¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
20Any Player Penta Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors950.0%950¢-850¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
23Any Player Penta Kill950.0%950¢-850¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills950.0%950¢-850¢
25O/U 4.5 Games240.0%$561240¢-140¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%50¢50¢
27Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.0%50¢50¢
28Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors50.0%50¢50¢
29Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%50¢50¢
30Any Player Penta Kill50.0%50¢50¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL Grand final match between The Ruddy Sack and Verdant in the NLC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "The Ruddy Sack" if The Ruddy Sack win the match against Verdant.

This market will resolve to "Verdant" if Verdant win the match against The Ruddy Sack.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 16, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Sep 16, 2026

  • 10:46 AM
    JEjellybelly42
    $2.69

    Bought 6.897436 The Ruddy Sack for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.39

  • 10:08 AM
    GOGonnaBeRich02
    $52.00

    Bought 83.870968 Verdant for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.62

  • 09:55 AM
    BOBoss7
    $496.00

    Bought 800 Verdant for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.62

  • 09:40 AM
    ARarcher111
    $7.00

    Bought 17.94 The Ruddy Sack for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.39

  • 09:40 AM
    WHwhatyouknowboutlove
    $146.33

    Bought 385.07 The Ruddy Sack for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.38

  • 08:44 AM
    PHphoebebuffay
    $15.00

    Bought 37.5 Under for Games Total: O/U 3.5 at 0.4

  • 08:39 AM
    KIkishkatonka777
    $13.91

    Bought 36.605264 The Ruddy Sack for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.38

  • 08:38 AM
    KAkantesher
    $24.06

    Bought 63.31579 The Ruddy Sack for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.38

  • 08:38 AM
    0X0x6918EA182D963b1Fb7888860b8a8b8bCfbA5782b-1771878010027
    $25.90

    Bought 70 The Ruddy Sack for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.37

  • 08:18 AM
    PUpurplegatto
    $9.99

    Bought 27 The Ruddy Sack for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.37

  • 07:20 AM
    JZjzr09
    $7.00

    Bought 10.9375 Verdant for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.64

  • 07:10 AM
    $0.78

    Sold 2.17 The Ruddy Sack for LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs at 0.36

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

WH1
whatyouknowboutlove
イベント損益
+$6.35
出来高
$1,547.34
保有ポジション
The Ruddy Sack
BO2
Boss7
イベント損益
-$4.00
出来高
$1,050.00
保有ポジション
Verdant
ME3
meowmeowwoof123
イベント損益
-$2.43
出来高
$484.99
保有ポジション
Verdant
ME4
merkmerk12333331
イベント損益
-$11.24
出来高
$458.35
保有ポジション
Verdant
SA5
Satisfactory8
イベント損益
+$7.31
出来高
$243.70
保有ポジション
The Ruddy Sack
696
0x6918…0027
イベント損益
+$3.86
出来高
$107.50
保有ポジション
The Ruddy SackOver
BR7
bravewarriorrrrrr
イベント損益
-$1.46
出来高
$97.00
保有ポジション
Verdant
GO8
GonnaBeRich02
イベント損益
-$0.42
出来高
$83.87
保有ポジション
Verdant

よくある質問

「LoL: The Ruddy Sack vs Verdant (BO5) - NLC Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Game 2 Winner が 9,995% の勝率で首位、続いて Game 3 Winner(9,995%)、Game 4 Winner(9,995%)。このプールの総取引高は $128K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

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