LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs

$68.3K Vol
2026年9月2日
Active
確率トレンド
PCIFIC 81.5%
Dark Passage 18.5%

コアサマリー

「LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Match Winner が 8,150% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Game 3 Winner が 7,350% で2番手、Game 2 Winner が 7,180% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $68.3K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Match Winner (8,150%):最も高い確率を持つ Match Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 8,150¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $2.9K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Game 3 Winner (7,350%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Game 3 Winner は 7,350% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 7,350¢ で取引されています。
  • Game 2 Winner (7,180%):7,180% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 2 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Game 4 Winner (7,050%)、O/U 3.5 Games (7,000%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon (6,000%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Both Teams Slay a Dragon のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Match Winner8150.0%$2.9K8150¢-8050¢
2Game 3 Winner7350.0%$2957350¢-7250¢
3Game 2 Winner7180.0%$2.1K7180¢-7080¢
4Game 4 Winner7050.0%$1.2K7050¢-6950¢
5O/U 3.5 Games7000.0%$11.3K7000¢-6900¢
6Both Teams Slay a Dragon6000.0%6000¢-5900¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon6000.0%6000¢-5900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5950.0%5950¢-5850¢
9Both Teams Slay a Dragon5800.0%5800¢-5700¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5800.0%5800¢-5700¢
11Game Handicap: PCIFIC (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5)5250.0%$785250¢-5150¢
12Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5250.0%5250¢-5150¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5200.0%5200¢-5100¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5150.0%5150¢-5050¢
16Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%5050¢-4950¢
17Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills4850.0%4850¢-4750¢
25Game 1 Winner4450.0%$47.0K4450¢-4350¢
26Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor3950.0%3950¢-3850¢
27Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors3950.0%3950¢-3850¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor3950.0%3950¢-3850¢
29Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor3950.0%3950¢-3850¢
30Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors3900.0%3900¢-3800¢
31Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors3850.0%3850¢-3750¢
32Any Player Quadra Kill3750.0%3750¢-3650¢
33Any Player Quadra Kill3750.0%3750¢-3650¢
34Any Player Quadra Kill3750.0%3750¢-3650¢
35Any Player Penta Kill3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
36Any Player Penta Kill3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
37Any Player Penta Kill3650.0%3650¢-3550¢
38Game Handicap: PCIFIC (-2.5) vs Dark Passage (+2.5)3000.0%$3.2K3000¢-2900¢
39O/U 4.5 Games2500.0%$1842500¢-2400¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between PCIFIC and Dark Passage in the TCL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "PCIFIC " if PCIFIC win the match against Dark Passage.

This market will resolve to "Dark Passage" if Dark Passage win the match against PCIFIC .

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 15, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Aug 31, 2026

  • 09:13 PM
    0X0x75234E66C4EcE58Fc586b0D9323b1105993968a0-1780214517706
    $2.60

    Bought 5 PCIFIC for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.52

  • 09:13 PM
    AIAIluka
    $113.47

    Sold 236.4 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.48

  • 09:12 PM
    LOlolixmaster
    $9.72

    Bought 16.2 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.6

  • 09:12 PM
    LOlolixmaster
    $3.81

    Bought 6.81 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.56

  • 09:12 PM
    LOlolixmaster
    $11.40

    Bought 20 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.57

  • 09:12 PM
    CHchaeri
    $21.24

    Bought 44.26 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.48

  • 09:12 PM
    CEceasal
    $37.86

    Sold 74.24 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.51

  • 09:12 PM
    FAFaithInTheLord
    $726.02

    Sold 1423.56 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.51

  • 09:11 PM
    0X0x2E680377658456CC5dD05C8a4E0a146013f458f2-1768513818152
    $85.80

    Sold 156 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.55

  • 09:11 PM
    KOKOGamble6273
    $2.80

    Sold 5 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.56

  • 09:10 PM
    MEmervebg20
    $543.74

    Sold 1006.93 Dark Passage for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.54

  • 09:10 PM
    0X0x0Eb321cc0017902Dc940DE7E7f74d3Ff6B7A211b-1777928630569
    $15.00

    Bought 38.461537 PCIFIC for LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner at 0.39

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

AL1
alpheclabs
イベント損益
+$331.70
出来高
$6,603.93
保有ポジション
PCIFICUnderDark Passage
GE2
getlowgetlow
イベント損益
-$331.04
出来高
$5,154.58
保有ポジション
OverDark Passage
XD3
xdddddddddddddddddddddddd
イベント損益
-$190.42
出来高
$4,378.66
保有ポジション
Dark Passage
GO4
godenkor
イベント損益
+$422.83
出来高
$4,159.23
保有ポジション
PCIFIC
WH5
whatyouknowboutlove
イベント損益
-$100.28
出来高
$3,982.64
保有ポジション
PCIFICPCIFIC
CI6
cici995
イベント損益
-$64.72
出来高
$3,255.14
保有ポジション
PCIFICOverDark Passage
XA7
xaihunkr45467
イベント損益
-$318.38
出来高
$3,238.07
保有ポジション
Dark Passage
SS8
SSSrankgypsy
イベント損益
+$335.42
出来高
$3,173.72
保有ポジション
Dark Passage

よくある質問

「LoL: PCIFIC vs Dark Passage (BO5) - TCL Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Match Winner が 8,150% の勝率で首位、続いて Game 3 Winner(7,350%)、Game 2 Winner(7,180%)。このプールの総取引高は $68.3K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

無料で始める