LoL: Nothin'Here vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs

$284.9K Vol
2026年11月12日
Active
確率トレンド
Saigon Warriors 93.5%
Nothin'Here 6.5%

コアサマリー

「LoL: Nothin'Here vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Nothin'Here (+1.5) が 8,600% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) が 7,050% で2番手、Game 4 Winner が 5,100% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $284.9K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Nothin'Here (+1.5) (8,600%):最も高い確率を持つ Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Nothin'Here (+1.5) は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 8,600¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $8.2K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) (7,050%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) は 7,050% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 7,050¢ で取引されています。
  • Game 4 Winner (5,100%):5,100% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 4 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,050%)、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (5,000%)、Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (5,000%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Any Player Quadra Kill のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Nothin'Here (+1.5)8600.0%$8.2K8600¢-8500¢
2Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5)7050.0%$15.2K7050¢-6950¢
3Game 4 Winner5100.0%$155100¢-5000¢
4Both Teams Slay a Dragon5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
5Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
6Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
7Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
27Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
28Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
29O/U 3.5 Games4350.0%$4.1K4350¢-4250¢
30Game 3 Winner4300.0%$1.4K4300¢-4200¢
31Game 2 Winner2700.0%$1.8K2700¢-2600¢
32O/U 4.5 Games1350.0%$901350¢-1250¢
33Match Winner750.0%$82.4K750¢-650¢
34Game 1 Winner5.0%$171.8K5¢95¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL Semifinal match between Nothin'Here and Saigon Warriors in the LCP Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 12, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nothin'Here" if Nothin'Here win the match against Saigon Warriors.

This market will resolve to "Saigon Warriors" if Saigon Warriors win the match against Nothin'Here.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 26, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 12, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Nov 12, 2026

  • 12:56 AM
    ——
    $157.96

    Bought 359 NothinHere for Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) at 0.44

  • 12:54 AM
    ——
    $158.84

    Bought 361 NothinHere for Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) at 0.44

  • 12:42 AM
    LJljs666
    $5.00

    Bought 11.111112 NothinHere for Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) at 0.45

  • 12:32 AM
    NINiK0k0k0k
    $267.12

    Bought 593.592667 NothinHere for Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) at 0.45

  • 12:20 AM
    UHUhahd86264
    $1.00

    Bought 2.272728 NothinHere for Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) at 0.44

  • 12:20 AM
    JEJeekBrain
    $86.60

    Bought 196.82 NothinHere for Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) at 0.44

  • 12:19 AM
    YOyouqiruc
    $3.00

    Bought 23.076924 NothinHere for LoL: Nothin'Here vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs at 0.13

  • 12:19 AM
    FIFirstGeyBunny
    $368.17

    Bought 657.44 Saigon Warriors for Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5) at 0.56

  • 12:18 AM
    0X0x8cb9c
    $1.00

    Bought 1.136358 Saigon Warriors for LoL: Nothin'Here vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs at 0.88

  • 12:17 AM
    ——
    $101.46

    Sold 845.53 NothinHere for LoL: Nothin'Here vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs at 0.12

  • 12:11 AM
    AMameisgoat11
    $4.40

    Bought 5 Saigon Warriors for LoL: Nothin'Here vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs at 0.88

  • 12:02 AM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $86.66

    Bought 666.615385 NothinHere for LoL: Nothin'Here vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs at 0.13

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

BL1
bloodmaster
イベント損益
-$49.11
出来高
$62,438.65
保有ポジション
Saigon WarriorsSaigon WarriorsSaigon Warriors+4
9E2
0x9e3e…9396
イベント損益
+$137.23
出来高
$12,768.94
保有ポジション
Nothin'HereOverNothin'Here+1
NI3
NiK0k0k0k
イベント損益
+$434.94
出来高
$11,932.60
保有ポジション
Nothin'HereNothin'HereNothin'Here
GT4
gt7238
イベント損益
-$810.38
出来高
$9,825.89
保有ポジション
Saigon Warriors
A85
a8999
イベント損益
+$346.90
出来高
$7,146.04
保有ポジション
Nothin'HereNothin'Here
VE6
VeryLucky888
イベント損益
+$19.50
出来高
$4,611.31
保有ポジション
Saigon WarriorsNothin'HereNothin'Here+1
BA7
backbox
イベント損益
-$85.15
出来高
$4,484.87
保有ポジション
Nothin'HereNothin'HereOver
3E8
0x3e83…5e31
イベント損益
-$18.25
出来高
$3,650.80
保有ポジション
Saigon Warriors

よくある質問

「LoL: Nothin'Here vs Saigon Warriors (BO5) - LCP Promotion Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Game Handicap: SGW (-1.5) vs Nothin'Here (+1.5) が 8,600% の勝率で首位、続いて Game Handicap: SGW (-2.5) vs Nothin'Here (+2.5)(7,050%)、Game 4 Winner(5,100%)。このプールの総取引高は $284.9K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

取引を始める