LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs

$155.5K Vol
2026年9月16日
Active
確率トレンド
NightBirds 100.0%
CITA Kaizen 0.1%

コアサマリー

「LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、Game 1 Winner が 9,995% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Game 2 Winner が 9,995% で2番手、Game 3 Winner が 9,995% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $155.5K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • Game 1 Winner (9,995%):最も高い確率を持つ Game 1 Winner は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 9,995¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $47.3K の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Game 2 Winner (9,995%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Game 2 Winner は 9,995% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 9,995¢ で取引されています。
  • Game 3 Winner (9,995%):9,995% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 3 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Match Winner (9,995%)、Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors (9,980%)、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor (9,950%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Both Teams Slay a Dragon のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1Game 1 Winner9995.0%$47.3K9995¢-9895¢
2Game 2 Winner9995.0%$34.7K9995¢-9895¢
3Game 3 Winner9995.0%$21.5K9995¢-9895¢
4Match Winner9995.0%$45.3K9995¢-9895¢
5Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors9980.0%9980¢-9880¢
6Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
7Both Teams Slay a Dragon9950.0%$409950¢-9850¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon9950.0%$409950¢-9850¢
9Odd/Even Total Kills9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
11Odd/Even Total Kills9950.0%9950¢-9850¢
12Game 4 Winner5050.0%$4.9K5050¢-4950¢
13Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
14Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%$405000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
16Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
18Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
20Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%$405000¢-4900¢
21Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
22Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
23Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
24Odd/Even Total Kills5000.0%5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%50¢50¢
26Any Player Penta Kill50.0%50¢50¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills50.0%50¢50¢
28Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%50¢50¢
29Any Player Quadra Kill50.0%50¢50¢
30Any Player Penta Kill50.0%50¢50¢
31Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor50.0%50¢50¢
32Both Teams Slay a Dragon50.0%$4050¢50¢
33Any Player Penta Kill50.0%50¢50¢
34Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors20.0%20¢80¢
35Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors20.0%20¢80¢
36O/U 3.5 Games5.0%$2.6K95¢
37O/U 4.5 Games5.0%$4595¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between NightBirds and CITA Kaizen in the Hitpoint Masters Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "NightBirds" if NightBirds win the match against CITA Kaizen.

This market will resolve to "CITA Kaizen" if CITA Kaizen win the match against NightBirds.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Sep 15, 2026

  • 09:34 AM
    YUYukihiranokoX
    $5.66

    Bought 35.375 CITA Kaizen for LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.16

  • 09:19 AM
    VIvincetrades
    $7.48

    Bought 11 NightBirds for LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen - Game 3 Winner at 0.68

  • 09:05 AM
    LEleonMontana
    $73.64

    Bought 100.880811 NightBirds for LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen - Game 1 Winner at 0.73

  • 09:00 AM
    KAKalp0703
    $7.00

    Bought 9.722221 NightBirds for LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen - Game 3 Winner at 0.72

  • 08:58 AM
    REremingt0n
    $7.17

    Bought 9.82 NightBirds for LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen - Game 1 Winner at 0.73

  • 08:30 AM
    DADavidssss
    $1.00

    Bought 1.162785 NightBirds for LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.86

  • 08:23 AM
    PUpurplegatto
    $4.34

    Bought 31 CITA Kaizen for LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.14

  • 08:23 AM
    DOdoglover4571
    $1.10

    Bought 7.84 CITA Kaizen for LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.14

  • 07:57 AM
    VTvtsmxdesp
    $1.95

    Sold 2.27 NightBirds for LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.86

  • 07:51 AM
    DODonaldao
    $1.00

    Sold 1.16 NightBirds for LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.86

  • 07:45 AM
    SHSH1L0H
    $44.00

    Bought 50.574707 NightBirds for LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.87

  • 07:26 AM
    VTvtsmxdesp
    $2.00

    Bought 2.272725 NightBirds for LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs at 0.88

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

BL1
bloodmaster
イベント損益
+$1,621.36
出来高
$24,948.32
保有ポジション
NightBirdsNightBirdsNightBirds
SK2
skadii
イベント損益
-$1,278.04
出来高
$12,715.93
保有ポジション
OverCITA KaizenCITA Kaizen+2
9E3
0x9e3e…9396
イベント損益
-$2,050.95
出来高
$10,211.69
保有ポジション
CITA KaizenCITA KaizenCITA Kaizen+1
AO4
aomendushen008
イベント損益
+$109.74
出来高
$9,425.78
保有ポジション
NightBirdsNightBirdsNightBirds
045
0x048f…9992
イベント損益
-$34.18
出来高
$7,661.92
保有ポジション
CITA KaizenCITA KaizenCITA Kaizen+1
DE6
degenofweb3
イベント損益
+$8.06
出来高
$7,451.55
保有ポジション
NightBirdsNightBirds
OC7
ocss
イベント損益
+$1,673.63
出来高
$6,660.61
保有ポジション
NightBirdsNightBirdsNightBirds+2
HE8
heatwave0521
イベント損益
+$603.48
出来高
$5,298.25
保有ポジション
NightBirdsNightBirdsNightBirds+1

よくある質問

「LoL: NightBirds vs CITA Kaizen (BO5) - Hitpoint Masters Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、Game 1 Winner が 9,995% の勝率で首位、続いて Game 2 Winner(9,995%)、Game 3 Winner(9,995%)。このプールの総取引高は $155.5K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

無料で始める