LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs

$138.4K Vol
2026年10月9日
Active
確率トレンド
Cupid Esports 65.5%
Maryville University 34.5%

コアサマリー

「LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs」に関する最新の予測市場データによると、トレーダーの間で強いコンセンサスが形成されています。

現在、O/U 3.5 Games が 7,000% という圧倒的な勝率で市場を支配しています。Odd/Even Total Kills が 5,900% で2番手、Game 4 Winner が 5,450% で3番手。この市場の賭け金はすでに $138.4K に達し、高い関心を示しています。

競争ティアの内訳

各結果の位置をより的確に評価するため、市場はインプライド確率と契約価格に基づいて3つの取引ティアに分けられます:

🥇 ティア1:圧倒的なリーダー

  • O/U 3.5 Games (7,000%):最も高い確率を持つ O/U 3.5 Games は板から厚く支持されています。この結果に賭けるトレーダーは 7,000¢ の「Buy Yes」契約価格に直面し、市場の強い確信を示しています。 この契約だけで $218 の出来高を生んでいます。

🥈 ティア2:主要な対抗馬

  • Odd/Even Total Kills (5,900%):最も有力な対抗馬として、Odd/Even Total Kills は 5,900% の的中確率を維持しています。「Buy Yes」株は現在 5,900¢ で取引されています。
  • Game 4 Winner (5,450%):5,450% の確率で3番手につけ、市場は Game 4 Winner に慎重な懐疑を示し、勢いが変わらない限り外部のワイルドカードと見なしています。

🥉 ティア3:ロングテール選択肢(合計約 0%)

トップ3以外にも、多くのマクロ変数と大穴の結果が追跡されています。個々の確率は低いものの、投機トレーダーにとって重要なヘッジとなります:

  • 代替選択肢:Any Player Penta Kill (5,250%)、Both Teams Slay a Dragon (5,200%)、Odd/Even Total Kills (5,050%) などが含まれます。
  • 投機的出来高:統計的な可能性は低いものの、Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor のようなロングテール契約は依然として相応の関心を集めています。

包括的なオーダーブック&価格ダッシュボード

以下の表は、この予測プールに掲載されたすべての結果について、契約価格・確率・板の厚みを網羅的に示しています:

順位予測結果勝率取引高Yes 購入(コスト)No 購入(コスト)
1O/U 3.5 Games7000.0%$2187000¢-6900¢
2Odd/Even Total Kills5900.0%—5900¢-5800¢
3Game 4 Winner5450.0%—5450¢-5350¢
4Any Player Penta Kill5250.0%—5250¢-5150¢
5Both Teams Slay a Dragon5200.0%—5200¢-5100¢
6Odd/Even Total Kills5050.0%—5050¢-4950¢
7Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
8Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
9Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
10Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
11Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
12Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
13Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
14Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
15Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
16Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
17Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
18Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
19Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
20Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
21Any Player Penta Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
22Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
23Both Teams Slay a Dragon5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
24Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
25Any Player Quadra Kill5000.0%—5000¢-4900¢
26Odd/Even Total Kills4850.0%—4850¢-4750¢
27Odd/Even Total Kills4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
28Odd/Even Total Kills4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
29Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors4800.0%—4800¢-4700¢
30Game 3 Winner4650.0%$7.9K4650¢-4550¢
31Game 2 Winner4600.0%$17.5K4600¢-4500¢
32Game Handicap: CPD (-1.5) vs Maryville University (+1.5)4450.0%$32.3K4450¢-4350¢
33Game 1 Winner4350.0%$23.2K4350¢-4250¢
34O/U 4.5 Games3300.0%$123300¢-3200¢
35Match Winner3250.0%$55.8K3250¢-3150¢
36Game Handicap: CPD (-2.5) vs Maryville University (+2.5)2000.0%$1.5K2000¢-1900¢
37Any Player Penta Kill1950.0%—1950¢-1850¢
38Any Player Penta Kill700.0%—700¢-600¢
39Any Player Penta Kill700.0%—700¢-600¢

判定ルール

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket final match between Maryville University and Cupid Esports in the LCS Promotion Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Maryville University" if Maryville University win the match against Cupid Esports.

This market will resolve to "Cupid Esports" if Cupid Esports win the match against Maryville University.

If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 22, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 8, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

取引アクティビティ

このイベントの取引アクティビティです。

Oct 8, 2026

  • 02:00 PM
    AMam100
    $32.75

    Bought 72.78 Maryville University for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 2 Winner at 0.45

  • 01:59 PM
    GRGREGsdbgdfsfwe
    $98.51

    Sold 149.25 Cupid Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs at 0.66

  • 01:56 PM
    JZjzr09
    $7.00

    Bought 10.44776 Cupid Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs at 0.67

  • 01:54 PM
    0X0x9e3ed7b661a903fc97afcf49e0f014ebe869f882-1783406009396
    $190.47

    Bought 284.283581 Cupid Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs at 0.67

  • 01:49 PM
    0X0xFe77AE932bbB0174543F7312992CEd10DbC28fE4-1780652519271
    $2.70

    Bought 5 Cupid Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 3 Winner at 0.54

  • 01:47 PM
    FAFaustMendez
    $46.31

    Bought 87.37 Cupid Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.53

  • 01:44 PM
    ININDRAgs
    $5.00

    Bought 10.41 Maryville University for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.48

  • 01:44 PM
    FUFuguetaLDS
    $15.33

    Bought 32.62 Maryville University for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.47

  • 01:43 PM
    VIvip190666
    $351.65

    Bought 651.2 Cupid Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.54

  • 01:43 PM
    XXxxd1234
    $33.50

    Bought 50 Cupid Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs at 0.67

  • 01:37 PM
    VIvip190666
    $692.39

    Bought 1282.2 Cupid Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports - Game 1 Winner at 0.54

  • 01:37 PM
    SAsamanto
    $13.40

    Bought 20 Cupid Esports for LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs at 0.67

このイベントに賭けているクジラのウォレット

0X1
0x0x23…h8c9
イベント損益
-$29.23
出来高
$22,381.29
保有ポジション
Maryville UniversityMaryville UniversityMaryville University
692
0x6918…0027
イベント損益
-$772.25
出来高
$21,069.82
保有ポジション
Maryville UniversityMaryville UniversityMaryville University+1
ME3
meoooow
イベント損益
+$140.15
出来高
$9,021.29
保有ポジション
Cupid EsportsCupid EsportsCupid Esports
PO4
PourpelNourpel
イベント損益
-$129.63
出来高
$8,163.65
保有ポジション
Maryville UniversityMaryville UniversityMaryville University
765
0x7609…2080
イベント損益
+$100.62
出来高
$8,040.38
保有ポジション
Maryville UniversityCupid Esports
ZH6
zhouhuai
イベント損益
-$73.43
出来高
$5,834.91
保有ポジション
Cupid Esports
AM7
am100
イベント損益
+$52.06
出来高
$5,732.09
保有ポジション
Maryville UniversityMaryville UniversityMaryville University+1
A88
a8999
イベント損益
+$93.00
出来高
$5,399.98
保有ポジション
Cupid EsportsCupid Esports

よくある質問

「LoL: Maryville University vs Cupid Esports (BO5) - LCS Promotion Playoffs」に対する現在の市場コンセンサスは?

最新の更新時点で、O/U 3.5 Games が 7,000% の勝率で首位、続いて Odd/Even Total Kills(5,900%)、Game 4 Winner(5,450%)。このプールの総取引高は $138.4K に達し、高い流動性と参加度を示しています。

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